Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Justo José de Urquiza		Liniers

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.9	3.7
				Watch
	2.06	2.9	3.94
	2.06	2.9	3.94
	1.91	3	4
	2.01	2.9	3.85	Watch
	2.01	2.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.22)	2.92 ↑ (2.88)	3.88 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justo José de Urquiza
45.4%

Draw
31.2%

Liniers
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

32.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justo José de Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Justo José de Urquiza - Liniers Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Justo José Urquiza will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Justo José Urquiza: 79.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Justo José de Urquiza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Liniers is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Justo José de Urquiza will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Justo José de Urquiza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Justo José de Urquiza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
29.10.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Atlético Claypole	4:0 ✺
14.10.23	Atlético Claypole - Justo José de Urquiza	1:3 ✺
10.10.23	Justo José de Urquiza - San Martín de Burzaco	4:0 ✺
29.09.23	Excursionistas - Justo José de Urquiza	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLL
- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera C
29.10.23	Liniers - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Real Pilar - Liniers	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Liniers - Deportivo Laferrere	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Victoriano Arenas - Liniers	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Liniers - Leandro N. Alem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
25.06.23	Liniers - Justo José de Urquiza	3:1
18.02.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Liniers	0:1

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