Match Info

Primera C - Round 9

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Justo José de Urquiza		Atlético Claypole

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.25	3.6
	2.33	3.05	2.9	Watch
	2.38	3.02	2.82
	2.41	3.06	2.89	Watch
	2.38	3.04	2.86
	2.33	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.75)	3.08 ↓ (3.5)	3 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justo José de Urquiza
39.9%

Draw
29.6%

Atlético Claypole
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

25.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justo José de Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Justo José de Urquiza's form might have worsened.

Atlético Claypole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Claypole's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Justo José de Urquiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Claypole than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Claypole, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Justo José de Urquiza - Atlético Claypole Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Paiva A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 0 - 2, Paiva A. ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Lucero F. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Justo José Urquiza won 2.

Justo José Urquiza is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético Claypole's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Justo José Urquiza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Justo José Urquiza could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Justo José Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Justo José Urquiza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
27.04.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Justo José de Urquiza - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Leandro N. Alem	1:0 ✺
26.03.25	Mercedes - Justo José de Urquiza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWW
- Atlético Claypole
Argentinian Primera C
26.04.25	Atlético Claypole - El Porvenir	4:2 ✺
20.04.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Atlético Claypole	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Atlético Claypole - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Atlético Claypole - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
11.09.24	Atlético Claypole - Justo José de Urquiza	3:0
10.04.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Atlético Claypole	0:1
29.10.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Atlético Claypole	4:0
14.10.23	Atlético Claypole - Justo José de Urquiza	1:3
29.07.23	Atlético Claypole - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1
27.03.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Atlético Claypole	0:0

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