Match Info

Primera B - Round 41

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	LPF Play


	Real Pilar		Liniers

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.00	4.10
	1.81	3.10	3.95	Watch
	1.88	3.25	4.28
	1.87	3.08	4.31	Watch
	1.82	3.1	4.2
	1.89	3.25	4.3
	1.89	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	4.16 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
48.9%

Draw
29.2%

Liniers
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49%

28.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

27.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Liniers aligns with the current prediction.

Real Pilar - Liniers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Abre F. 9. Aguilar R. 11. Crocco M. (C) 3. Franco E. 2. Gelos V. 4. Leguiza D. 8. Mancini V. 7. Martin B. 5. Pansardi F. 10. Vergara D.	1. Rotundo M. (G) 6. Canosa J. 4. Di Motta R. 3. Fiordeliso M. 10. Gallegos E. 11. Mackay G. 9. Moreno F. 7. Palacio S. 8. Penoni A. 2. Rodon F. 5. Roth J.
Substitutes
13. Basualdo N. 16. Cesar J. 19. Delari T. 17. Gonzalez D. 14. Isola G. 15. Rios N. 20. Rojas M. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 18. Smith I.	18. Camejo F. 17. Camejo J. 19. Coria T. 12. De Feliche C. (G) 14. Fiumara F. 13. Formichelli S. 16. Mackay 20. Rodriguez C. 15. Tonet J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Gelos V. 🟥,
17', 1 - 0, Roth J. (Own goal),
22', Crocco M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Crocco M. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
58', Vergara D. ↓, Basualdo N. ↑,
66', Franco E. 🟨,
67', Gallegos E. ↓, Camejo F. ↑,
67', Pereyra E. ↓, Mackay G. ↑,
70', Fernandez G. 🟨,
71', Mancini V. ↓, Cesar J. ↑,
72', Martin B. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
75', Moreno F. ↓, Coria T. ↑,
75', Fernandez G. ↓, Tonet J. ↑,
79', Aguilar R. ↓, Rios N. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Cesar J. ⚽,
84', Penoni A. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Di Motta R. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Canosa J. 🟨,
90+2', Tonet J. 🟨,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Primera B Promotion - Playoffs and 15th).

Real Pilar is Qualified for Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs ).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Bookmakers give the edge to Real Pilar for this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Pilar has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 0.6:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Pilar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.7:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Real Pilar ✔	41	18	11	12	44:40	4	65
19	Liniers	41	10	15	16	34:43	-9	45

Last Results with these Odds

Real Pilar - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 48.97%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
17.10.26	Real Pilar - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
12.10.26	UAI Urquiza - Real Pilar	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Real Pilar - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Excursionistas - Real Pilar	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Real Pilar - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLW
- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera B
17.10.26	Liniers - UAI Urquiza	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Villa Dálmine - Liniers	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Liniers - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Liniers	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Liniers - Argentino de Merlo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
14.06.26	Liniers - Real Pilar	0:1
15.11.25	Liniers - Real Pilar	1:0
21.06.25	Real Pilar - Liniers	1:3
Argentinian Primera C
29.10.23	Liniers - Real Pilar	1:1
14.10.23	Real Pilar - Liniers	1:2
14.07.23	Liniers - Real Pilar	1:0
11.03.23	Real Pilar - Liniers	0:0

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