The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Pilar 63%
Draw 24.1%
Liniers 12.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
25.9%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
24.4%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Pilar's performance.
Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liniers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Pilar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liniers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
10%
0%
Real Pilar - Liniers Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Pilar (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Real Pilar (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Real Pilar will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Pilar (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cano M. (G) 4. Monge L. 2. Govi G. 6. Rodriguez J. 3. Franco E. 8. Smith I. 5. Rios N. 11. Crocco M. (C) 10. Chambi L. 7. Martin B. 9. Riquelme M. D.
1. Fumo R. (G) 6. Pacheco O. 2. Gayoso E. 4. Maciel E. 8. Gridel M. 3. Klipauka A. 5. Torres J. (C) 7. Ramirez P. 10. Sallaberry I. 11. Chavez C. 9. Linas M.
Substitutes
16. Barreiro A. 18. Cardozo G. 15. Escurra N. 20. Gomez M. 14. Leguiza D. 13. Otermin A. 19. Pavia K. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 17. Vergara D.
13. Caceres N. 14. Canosa J. 20. Gimenez W. 19. Guallama D. 15. Jasni F. 17. Lopez R. 18. Reynoso R. 12. Rotundo M. (G) 16. Santa Cruz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Linas M. ⚽,
12', Gridel M. 🟨,
19', Monge L. ↓, Leguiza D. ↑,
26', Chambi L. 🟥,
27', Sallaberry I. 🟨,
27', Riquelme M. D. 🟨,
45+4', Torres J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sallaberry I. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
48', Franco E. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
50', Chavez C. ↓, Guallama D. ↑,
51', Lopez R. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Riquelme M. D. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Linas M. ⚽,
70', Klipauka A. ↓, Canosa J. ↑,
70', Linas M. ↓, Gimenez W. ↑,
73', Crocco M. ↓, Barreiro A. ↑,
73', Martin B. ↓, Pavia K. ↑,
86', Ramirez P. ↓, Reynoso R. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 1.
Real Pilar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Liniers is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Real Pilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Real Pilar is the obvious favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Pilar won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
Argentina
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Cano M. (G) 
Pacheco O. 
Gimenez W. 
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