Match Info

Primera C - Round 17

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Mercedes		Justo José de Urquiza

	1	X	2
	2.30	2.45	3.50
	2.35	2.48	3.55
	2.46	2.35	4.14
	2.69	2.03	4.38	Watch
	2.4	2.13	4.05
	2.45	2.61	3.59
	2.33	2.47	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.38)	2.36 ↓ (2.8)	3.82 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
37.5%

Draw
38.6%

Justo José de Urquiza
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

32%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.7%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Justo José de Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Justo José de Urquiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Justo José de Urquiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Mercedes - Justo José de Urquiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mercedes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Justo José Urquiza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Sanchez Olmos L. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Duran F. (Own goal),
35', 3 - 0, Cruz Vera Borda J. ⚽,
44', 4 - 0, Murillo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 🟥,
55', 5 - 0, Cruz Vera Borda J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Mercedes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Justo José Urquiza is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mercedes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
14.06.26	Lugano - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Mercedes - Leandro N. Alem	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWL
- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
13.06.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Puerto Nuevo	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Leandro N. Alem - Justo José de Urquiza	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	General Lamadrid - Justo José de Urquiza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
21.02.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Mercedes	0:2
05.07.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Mercedes	0:1
26.03.25	Mercedes - Justo José de Urquiza	0:1
13.08.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Mercedes	2:1
23.03.24	Mercedes - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1

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