Match Info

Primera C - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Mercedes		Atlético Claypole

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.98	2.32
	2.94	2.97	2.32
	2.96	3.04	2.34	Watch
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.06	2.8	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.71)	2.92 ↑ (2.71)	2.34 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
30.4%

Draw
31%

Atlético Claypole
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Atlético Claypole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Claypole's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Claypole than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Claypole, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mercedes - Atlético Claypole Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

Recent performances by Mercedes have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Claypole is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mercedes - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 33.33%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
11.04.26	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Estrella del Sur - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Mercedes - Berazategui	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	El Porvenir - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Victoriano Arenas - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTLTL
- Atlético Claypole
Argentinian Primera C
12.04.26	Atlético Claypole - Sportivo Barracas	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Club Luján - Atlético Claypole	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Atlético Claypole - General Lamadrid	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Atlético Claypole	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Leones de Rosario - Atlético Claypole	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
22.07.25	Atlético Claypole - Mercedes	2:0
05.04.25	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:1
11.11.24	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:1
10.06.24	Atlético Claypole - Mercedes	1:0

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