Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	OneFootball TV


	Juve Stabia		Cesena

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	3.30	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.10
	2.18	3.30	3.20	Watch
	2.34	3.30	3.35
	2.27	3.25	3.18	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3.30
	2.32	3.13	3.33	Watch
	2.26	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
41.7%

Draw
29.2%

Cesena
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

26.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Juve Stabia - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cesena will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Boer P. (G) 19. Pietrangeli N. 6. Bellich M. 25. Douglas T. 96. Maggioni T. 17. Karic N. 7. Patane N. 8. Buglio D. 10. Pierobon C. 27. Candellone L. (C) 9. Di Nardo A.	1. Siano A. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 6. Ilic M. 4. Gelli J. 24. Mangraviti M. 25. Bisoli D. 10. Pagano R. 18. Guidi M. 7. Frabotta G. 9. Shpendi C. 80. Fiori A.
Substitutes
80. Artioli F. 4. Baldi M. 5. Battistella T. 87. Bettella D. 20. Caccavo L. 24. Kumi J. 37. Maistro F. 11. Piscopo K. 2. Ricciardi M. 30. Sandrucci R. 33. Sibilli G. 95. Vismara P. (G)	32. Bohinen E. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 16. D'Andrea L. 3. David A. 91. Debenedetti A. 14. Druiventak X. 39. Fontana N. (G) 8. Francesconi M. 23. Magni V. 2. Natta M. 26. Piacentini M. 5. Schirone L.
Coaches
De Giorgio P.	Diamanti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Shpendi C. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Shpendi C. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Karic N. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
46', Buglio D. ↓, Artioli F. ↑,
55', Patane N. ↓, Sibilli G. ↑,
55', Candellone L. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,
59', Frabotta G. ↓, Magni V. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Di Nardo A. ⚽, Maistro F. (A),
66', Guidi M. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,
66', Fiori A. ↓, Druiventak X. ↑,
67', Bisoli D. 🟨,
75', Pietrangeli N. ↓, Bettella D. ↑,
85', Bisoli D. ↓, Bohinen E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Juve Stabia (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cesena has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Juve Stabia has faced a series of away games on the road.

Juve Stabia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Cesena: Caprini M. (Inactive) Klinsmann J. (Neck Injury).

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Juve Stabia has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:12 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Juve Stabia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Cesena: 1.48% Juve Stabia: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7:6	1	7
19	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	4:7	-3	1

Last Results with these Odds

Juve Stabia - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
12.09.26	Vicenza Virtus - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Juve Stabia - Pisa	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Sampdoria - Juve Stabia	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Palermo - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Frosinone - Juve Stabia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLWLL
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
12.09.26	Cesena - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Cesena - Mantova	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Cesena - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Sassuolo - Cesena	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
11.04.26	Juve Stabia - Cesena	2:0
20.12.25	Cesena - Juve Stabia	1:1
30.03.25	Cesena - Juve Stabia	1:2
22.12.24	Juve Stabia - Cesena	1:0
Italian Super Cup Serie C
19.05.24	Cesena - Juve Stabia	2:2
Italian Serie B
22.03.14	Cesena - Juve Stabia	1:0
13.10.13	Juve Stabia - Cesena	0:2

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