Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: San Marino Stadium (Serravalle)


	Juvenes-Dogana		AC Libertas

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.1
	1.62	3.95	4.15	Watch
	1.6	4.12	4.59
	1.59	3.95	4.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.59)	4.01 ↓ (4.1)	4.35 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juvenes-Dogana
56.6%

Draw
22.6%

AC Libertas
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

22.4%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.3%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juvenes-Dogana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

AC Libertas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Juvenes Dogana - AC Libertas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Borghini G. ⚽, Pedini F. (A),
64', Senja E. 🟥,
65', 1 - 1, Fabbri P. ⚽,
80', Nigro D. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Juvenes-Dogana is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:23. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juvenes-Dogana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Libertas	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5
10	Juvenes/Dogana	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
26.04.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Murata	5:2 ✺
18.04.26	Pennarossa - Juvenes-Dogana	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Folgore	2:2 ✺
08.04.26	AC Libertas - Juvenes-Dogana	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Juvenes-Dogana - San Marino Academy U22	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLT
- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
26.04.26	AC Libertas - Virtus	0:9 ✺
19.04.26	AC Libertas - Tre Penne	5:0 ✺
12.04.26	Tre Fiori - AC Libertas	3:0 ✺
08.04.26	AC Libertas - Juvenes-Dogana	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Fiorentino - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.04.26	AC Libertas - Juvenes-Dogana	1:0
06.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - AC Libertas	0:1
21.01.25	AC Libertas - Juvenes-Dogana	0:1
16.03.24	Juvenes-Dogana - AC Libertas	4:1
10.12.23	AC Libertas - Juvenes-Dogana	1:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
25.10.23	AC Libertas - Juvenes-Dogana	5:0
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
05.04.23	Juvenes-Dogana - AC Libertas	0:3

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