Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 30

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: San Marino Stadium (Serravalle)


	Juvenes-Dogana		Murata

	1	X	2
	1.13	6.5	12.5
	1.14	8.5	8.27
	1.28	6.75	6.39	Watch
	1.22	5.5	8.5
	1.23	6.55	9.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.13)	6.76 ↓ (8.5)	9.05 ↓ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juvenes-Dogana
76.3%

Draw
13.5%

Murata
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82%

10.9%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juvenes-Dogana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juvenes-Dogana's form might have worsened.

Murata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Juvenes Dogana - Murata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Aprea M. ⚽, Sartini N. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Mazzavillani F. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', 3 - 0, Aprea M. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Aprea M. ⚽,
72', 5 - 0, Sartini N. ⚽, Pasolini F. (A),
79', 5 - 1, Labas J. ⚽, Baldazzi A. (A),
82', 5 - 2, Gjyla I. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).

Juvenes-Dogana is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 1.

Juvenes-Dogana has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Murata is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Juvenes-Dogana is the clear favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Juvenes-Dogana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Juvenes/Dogana	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3
12	Murata	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.04.26	Pennarossa - Juvenes-Dogana	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Folgore	2:2 ✺
08.04.26	AC Libertas - Juvenes-Dogana	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Juvenes-Dogana - San Marino Academy U22	0:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
18.03.26	Juvenes-Dogana - La Fiorita	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLTL
- SS Murata
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.04.26	Murata - Fiorentino	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Virtus - Murata	4:1 ✺
08.04.26	Murata - Tre Fiori	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Pennarossa - Murata	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Murata - Tre Penne	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
10.02.26	Murata - Juvenes-Dogana	1:5
02.02.25	Murata - Juvenes-Dogana	1:0
09.03.24	Juvenes-Dogana - Murata	2:4
25.11.23	Murata - Juvenes-Dogana	4:1
11.02.23	Murata - Juvenes-Dogana	2:2
30.09.22	Juvenes-Dogana - Murata	0:2
12.09.20	Juvenes-Dogana - Murata	1:1

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