Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 26

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio di Fiorentino (Fiorentino)


	Fiorentino		AC Libertas

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.5	3.2
	2	3.55	3.28
	2	3.36	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (1.98)	3.38 ↓ (3.46)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentino
46%

Draw
26.8%

AC Libertas
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Fiorentino have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Fiorentino - AC Libertas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Michelotti R. ⚽, Quarta A. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Gjonaj A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 3.

In recent matches, Fiorentino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AC Libertas is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fiorentino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fiorentino won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Libertas	4	1	2	1	4:5	-1	5
9	Fiorentino	4	1	1	2	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
15.03.26	Cailungo - Fiorentino	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Cosmos - Fiorentino	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Fiorentino - Tre Fiori	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Fiorentino - Juvenes-Dogana	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Virtus - Fiorentino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLWL
- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
15.03.26	AC Libertas - Cosmos	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Pennarossa - AC Libertas	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	AC Libertas - Folgore	2:4 ✺
21.02.26	La Fiorita - AC Libertas	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	AC Libertas - Faetano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
30.11.25	AC Libertas - Fiorentino	0:1
15.03.25	Fiorentino - AC Libertas	1:2
09.03.24	Fiorentino - AC Libertas	4:3
26.11.23	AC Libertas - Fiorentino	0:1
03.03.23	AC Libertas - Fiorentino	3:3
22.10.22	Fiorentino - AC Libertas	3:2
09.03.22	AC Libertas - Fiorentino	1:3

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