The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu 48.5%
Draw 28.4%
Douglas Haig 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.3%
33.4%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
31.9%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu's performance.
Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Douglas Haig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu than the current prediction. (-23.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+19%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Douglas Haig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
32%
8%
Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Douglas Haig Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Juventud Unida will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Douglas Haig will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 32%). Confidence interval (95%) for Juventud Unida: 40.8% – 79.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventud Unida won 1.
Juventud Unida has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Douglas Haig is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Douglas Haig will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Juventud Unida won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Juventud Unida won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.