Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo (Torremolinos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Juventud de Torremolinos		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.8
	2.55	3.1	2.4
	2.25	3.25	2.92
	2.28	3.35	3.12
	2.55	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.2	3	2.88
	2.3	3.4	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.64)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	2.83 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Torremolinos
39.2%

Draw
28.4%

Atlético Madrid B
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Torremolinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventud de Torremolinos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juventud de Torremolinos - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Barragan B. (G) 15. Salguero A. 5. Dani 18. Delmonte N. 3. Garcia F. 25. Diao U. 6. Climent A. 10. Gallego Cea F. 29. Roldan L. 11. Ribeiro I. 9. Pito Camacho	13. Esquivel S. (G) 28. Hueso R. 15. Puric A. 5. Martinez D. 19. Corral A. 21. Sits D. 18. Bellotti M. 8. Castillo J. 17. Monserrate J. 23. Ortiz A. 9. Llorente R.
Substitutes
12. Ajegun Perez R. 21. Christian 16. Diaz S. 2. Edu Lopez 17. Gonzalez I. 20. Gori 24. Laca I. 4. Merida Palomino J. 8. Penarroya C. 14. Polo C. 22. Roldan R. 26. Vila Y. (G)	20. Barboza M. 61. Cubo M. 1. de Luis M. (G) . Dominguez J. 37. Grant C. 11. Koke . Luque I. 24. Najera R. 2. Parriego M. 22. Perovic M. 27. Seidu T. 12. Spina G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Dani 🟨,
31', Roldan L. ↓, Gori ↑,
45', 0 - 1, Corral A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Garcia F. ↓, Polo C. ↑,
46', Pito Camacho ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
49', Climent A. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Diao U. ⚽,
57', Sits D. ↓, Luque I. ↑,
57', Hueso R. ↓, Cubo M. ↑,
58', Dani ↓, Merida Palomino J. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Polo C. ⚽,
71', Bellotti M. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
71', Puric A. ↓, Barboza M. ↑,
75', Martinez D. 🟨,
79', Gallego Cea F. ↓, Christian ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Polo C. ⚽,
90+2', Diaz S. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Torremolinos has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético Madrid B is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético Madrid B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Torremolinos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8
20	Torremolinos	6	0	1	5	6:16	-10	1

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Madrid B - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.43%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.04.26	Tarazona - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Betis B	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Ibiza - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.04.26	Atlético Madrid B - Betis B	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Teruel - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Atlético Madrid B - Marbella	5:4 ✺
05.04.26	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Atlético Madrid B - Antequera	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.10.25	Atlético Madrid B - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:1

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