Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ibiza		Juventud de Torremolinos

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.88	3.2	4.05
	1.89	3.24	4.39
	1.63	3.59	5.68	Watch
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.93	3.12	4.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.64)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	4.43 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
50.4%

Draw
28.8%

Juventud de Torremolinos
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

27.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

27%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibiza's form might have worsened.

Juventud de Torremolinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Ibiza - Juventud de Torremolinos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 2. Diez S. 4. Monjonell E. 21. Kembo Y. 22. Sola A. 7. Bebe 12. Garcia D. 24. Valls T. 14. Nsukula G. 19. Eslava J. 10. Svensson M.	13. Barragan B. (G) 15. Salguero A. 4. Merida Palomino J. 18. Delmonte N. 2. Edu Lopez 6. Climent A. 10. Gallego Cea F. 20. Gori 25. Diao U. 11. Ribeiro I. 7. Camacho A.
Substitutes
3. Albert J. 11. Castillo F. 9. Davo 8. del Olmo I. 6. del Pozo D. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 28. Incera I. 18. Indias I. 17. Medina U. 13. Paradowski T. (G) 16. Pedreno M. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)	12. Ajegun Perez R. 19. Amelibia J. 5. Dani 16. Diaz S. 17. Gonzalez I. 24. Laca I. 8. Penarroya C. 9. Pito Camacho 14. Polo C. 29. Roldan L. 22. Roldan R. 26. Vila Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Ribeiro I. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Eslava J. ⚽,
37', Garcia D. 🟨,
38', Nsukula G. ↓, Incera I. ↑,
38', Svensson M. ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
44', 2 - 1, Castillo F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Garcia D. ↓, Indias I. ↑,
60', Edu Lopez ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
60', Gallego Cea F. ↓, Polo C. ↑,
61', Delmonte N. 🟨,
70', Diao U. ↓, Pito Camacho ↑,
76', Eslava J. ↓, Davo ↑,
79', Climent A. 🟨,
80', Ribeiro I. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
80', Salguero A. ↓, Roldan R. ↑,
81', Bebe ↓, Albert J. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ibiza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ibiza is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ibiza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9
20	Torremolinos	6	0	1	5	6:16	-10	1

Last Results with these Odds

Ibiza - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.54%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.04.26	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Ibiza - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Eldense - Ibiza	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ibiza - Marbella	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Antequera - Ibiza	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLLW
- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.04.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Villarreal B - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.10.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Ibiza	3:0

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