The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventude de Pedras Salgadas 32%
Draw 29.8%
São Martinho 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
28.3%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
28.8%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude de Pedras Salgadas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude de Pedras Salgadas's form might have worsened.
São Martinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Martinho's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude de Pedras Salgadas than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude de Pedras Salgadas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Martinho, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pedras Salgadas won 1.
Pedras Salgadas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches São Martinho is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Pedras Salgadas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Pedras Salgadas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.