Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Championship Group

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Ilves		Åland United

	1	X	2
	5.00	4.33	1.46
	5.10	4.50	1.42
	4.64	4.48	1.48
	5.19	4.88	1.44	Watch
	3.80	4.05	1.62
	4.21	4.45	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (5.1)	4.45 ↓ (4.5)	1.51 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
19.5%

Draw
20.4%

Åland United
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

19.8%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

19%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Åland United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åland United than the current prediction. (+5%)

Ilves - Åland United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Maki-Kamppi V. (C) 21. Ahonen H. 7. Heinonen I. 3. Italinna E. 10. Jantti C. 19. Kallio I. 56. Lilja T. 8. Ljesnjanin A. 13. Luotonen A. 22. Olmala H. 4. Pirila R.	13. Sundelius C. (G) 11. Antikainen N. 3. Degerstedt E. 8. Hagstrom M. (C) 44. Hillberg S. 21. Hordijk C. 6. Jaatinen S. 19. Pitko N. 16. Takanen M. 15. Veber V. 10. Vetter J.
Substitutes
20. Fomenko W. 2. Hakola L. 40. Juvonen K. 11. Lahteenmaki L. 30. Lahtinen R. 26. Purhonen P. 17. Tarkkanen A.	18. Hansell E. 1. Niiranen L. (G) 22. Nordberg O. 5. Nurmi A. 2. Ratts A. 9. Sarjanoja I. 14. Torronen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Vetter J. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Vetter J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', Pirila R. ↓, Lahteenmaki L. ↑,
64', Ljesnjanin A. ↓, Tarkkanen A. ↑,
64', Kallio I. ↓, Fomenko W. ↑,
64', Veber V. ↓, Ratts A. ↑,
64', Pitko N. ↓, Sarjanoja I. ↑,
64', Hordijk C. ↓, Torronen A. ↑,
75', Takanen M. ↓, Nordberg O. ↑,
78', Fomenko W. 🟨,
84', Antikainen N. ↓, Nurmi A. ↑,
84', Jantti C. ↓, Purhonen P. ↑,
84', Lilja T. ↓, Juvonen K. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Luotonen A. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Torronen A. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Ahonen H. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 1.

Ilves is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Åland United have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Åland United is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:45 (averaging 1:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with 9:27 goals (averaging 0.8:2.5 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aland Utd W	22	14	1	7	56:30	26	43
5	Ilves W	22	8	2	12	39:45	-6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
12.09.26	Ilves - HJK	2:5 ✺
29.08.26	HPS - Ilves	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	KuPS - Ilves	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ilves - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	HPS - Ilves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLLW
- Åland United
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
13.09.26	Åland United - KuPS	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	HJK - Åland United	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Gnistan - Åland United	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	Åland United - HPS	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Åland United - VIFK	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
04.07.26	Ilves - Åland United	0:2
03.05.26	Åland United - Ilves	4:1
Finnish Cup Women
20.08.25	Ilves - Åland United	2:5
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
07.07.24	Ilves - Åland United	0:1
20.04.24	Åland United - Ilves	1:3
01.08.23	Åland United - Ilves	3:2
13.05.23	Ilves - Åland United	0:3

Ilves - Åland United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide