Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 29

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadsparksvallen (Jönköping)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Jönköpings Södra		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.3
	1.66	4.37	4.08	Watch
	1.59	4.04	5.18
	1.52	3.8	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.66)	4.03 ↓ (4.37)	4.97 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jönköpings Södra
58.5%

Draw
22.9%

AFC Malmö
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

21.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

20.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jönköpings Södra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Jönköpings Södra - AFC Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson A. (G) 17. Almstrom O. 12. Benatallah F. 6. Crona S. 18. Drott J. (C) 2. Eek L. 15. Eriksson A. 23. Johansson M. 11. Kiwarkis A. 10. Kozica D. 9. Lyck L.	33. Nilsson W. (G) 2. Andersson P. 99. Andersson V. 19. Awad A. 8. Brannefalk J. 36. Kristiansson V. 6. Nouri B. (C) 10. Reuterskiold A. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. 16. Sverrisson O. 14. Wettergren L.
Substitutes
7. Ellbring I. 22. Grauberg K. 16. Israelsson H. 4. Karlsson A. 30. Svensson S. (G) 8. Tannus B. 21. Uka A.	4. Arnshed S. 77. Castro V. 25. Lubwama R. (G) 7. Mohamud M. 15. Prica L. 18. Sjoberg B. 9. Zadran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Kiwarkis A. ⚽,
45', Wettergren L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Benatallah F. ↓, Ellbring I. ↑,
61', Kozica D. ↓, Israelsson H. ↑,
61', Wettergren L. ↓, Castro V. ↑,
61', Brannefalk J. ↓, Arnshed S. ↑,
71', Reuterskiold A. ↓, Mohamud M. ↑,
81', Castro V. 🟨,
82', Kristiansson V. ↓, Zadran R. ↑,
83', Crona S. ↓, Tannus B. ↑,
89', Lyck L. ↓, Karlsson A. ↑,
90+5', Israelsson H. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan (Promotion: ) and 5).

Jönköping is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ariana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Jönköping is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jönköping won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Jönköping won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Division 1 Södra
25.10.25	Trollhättan - Jönköpings Södra	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Jönköpings Södra - Ljungskile	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Oskarshamn - Jönköpings Södra	0:0 ✺
06.10.25	Jönköpings Södra - Skövde AIK	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Hässleholm - Jönköpings Södra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTWW
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
25.10.25	AFC Malmö - Olympic	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Rosengård 1917 - AFC Malmö	1:3 ✺
10.10.25	AFC Malmö - Ängelholm	1:3 ✺
03.10.25	AFC Malmö - Lunds	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Trollhättan - AFC Malmö	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
05.04.25	AFC Malmö - Jönköpings Södra	0:0
10.11.24	AFC Malmö - Jönköpings Södra	0:3
29.06.24	Jönköpings Södra - AFC Malmö	1:0

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