Match Info

Date: 9 December 2020, Wednesday


	Jönköpings Södra		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.7	3	3
	2.47	2.9	2.95
	2.63	3.06	3.12
	2.5	3	3.1	Watch
	2.56	3.13	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.99)	3.03 ↓ (3.31)	2.97 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jönköpings Södra
37.3%

Draw
31%

Kalmar
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

29%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

22%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jönköpings Södra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jönköpings Södra's performance.

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kalmar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jönköpings Södra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kalmar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jönköpings Södra - Kalmar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Kalmar has a chance of relegated (50%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Jönköpings Södra is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Kalmar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kalmar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Jönköpings Södra won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Jönköpings Södra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Superettan
05.12.20	Akropolis - Jönköpings Södra	1:1 ✺
28.11.20	Jönköpings Södra - Trelleborg	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Ljungskile - Jönköpings Södra	0:1 ✺
07.11.20	Jönköpings Södra - Norrby	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	Dalkurd - Jönköpings Södra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWWT
- Kalmar FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.12.20	Kalmar - Häcken	0:0 ✺
30.11.20	AIK - Kalmar	0:1 ✺
22.11.20	Kalmar - Djurgården	0:3 ✺
08.11.20	Örebro - Kalmar	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Sirius - Kalmar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.03.20	Kalmar - Jönköpings Södra	3:0
Svenska Cupen
01.03.20	Kalmar - Jönköpings Södra	5:0
Club Friendly
10.03.18	Kalmar - Jönköpings Södra	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.10.17	Jönköpings Södra - Kalmar	2:0
17.04.17	Kalmar - Jönköpings Södra	1:3
24.09.16	Jönköpings Södra - Kalmar	0:1
02.04.16	Kalmar - Jönköpings Södra	0:1

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