Match Info

Superettan - Round 14

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 5, Max, TV4 Play


	Örebro		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.55	Watch
	5	3.9	1.55
				Watch
	5.4	4.26	1.58
	5	3.8	1.55
	5.15	4.15	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (4.2)	4.06 ↑ (3.67)	1.57 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
18.1%

Draw
22.8%

Kalmar
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

25.6%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

25.1%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kalmar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kalmar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Örebro - Kalmar Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Örebro will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Kalmar will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalmar: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Örebro (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kalmar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Örebro (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Kalmar (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pahlsson M. (G) 2. Ghasem A. 16. Soderstrom H. 4. McCue E. 5. Modig J. 11. Kroon S. 9. Yakoub A. 7. Andersson E. 21. Alperud L. 17. Holmberg K. (C) 19. Asumang B.	1. Brolin S. (G) 4. Jansson R. 39. Saetra L. 47. Keita A. 3. Overby S. 20. Sosseh G. 23. R. Gojani 5. Hallberg M. (C) 10. Jebara C. 11. Olusanya A. 28. Sabriye A.
Substitutes
15. Astvald L. 6. Bajrovic M. 45. Dana H. 24. Dukhan W. 30. Runheim B. (G) 14. Shagaxle H. 22. Shlimon L.	16. Andersson W. 24. Andersson W. 14. Djoro A. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 18. Kujundzic A. 33. Rosenqvist C. 6. Sjostedt R.
Coaches
Haginge P.	Koskela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Holmberg K. ⚽, Asumang B. (A),
43', 1 - 1, R. Gojani ⚽, Sabriye A. (A),
45', Soderstrom H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Hallberg M. 🟨,
55', Jansson R. ↓, Sjostedt R. ↑,
55', Sabriye A. ↓, Rosenqvist C. ↑,
64', Ghasem A. ↓, Astvald L. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Overby S. ⚽, Olusanya A. (A),
73', Alperud L. ↓, Dana H. ↑,
73', Andersson E. ↓, Shlimon L. ↑,
73', Yakoub A. ↓, Dukhan W. ↑,
84', Sosseh G. ↓, Andersson W. ↑,
89', Jebara C. ↓, Djoro A. ↑,
90+2', Asumang B. ↓, Shagaxle H. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Soderstrom H. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 2.

Örebro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Kalmar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Kalmar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Örebro won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
22.06.25	Landskrona - Örebro	1:0 ✺
13.06.25	Örebro - Sandviken	0:1 ✺
30.05.25	Örebro - Brage	3:3 ✺
24.05.25	Östersund - Örebro	3:1 ✺
21.05.25	Utsikten - Örebro	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT
- Kalmar FF
Swedish Superettan
22.06.25	Kalmar - Örgryte	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	Kalmar - Landskrona	3:2 ✺
31.05.25	Utsikten - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Varbergs BoIS - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
22.05.25	Kalmar - Umeå	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
24.02.24	Örebro - Kalmar	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.11.21	Örebro - Kalmar	1:2
25.04.21	Kalmar - Örebro	1:0
08.11.20	Örebro - Kalmar	0:1
06.08.20	Kalmar - Örebro	0:3
Club Friendly
17.03.20	Kalmar - Örebro	4:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.08.19	Kalmar - Örebro	1:1

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