Match Info

SWEDEN: Svenska Cupen - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadsparksvallen (Jönköping)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Jönköpings Södra		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.4	1.36
	7	4.75	1.36
	6.82	4.63	1.38
	7.32	4.46	1.38	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.33
	7.37	4.7	1.37
	7	4.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.07 ↑ (6.07)	4.6 ↓ (4.83)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jönköpings Södra
12.9%

Draw
19.9%

Värnamo
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

18.9%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

14.5%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jönköpings Södra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jönköpings Södra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Värnamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jönköpings Södra - Värnamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
73', 1 - 0, Strandsater D. ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Voelkerling Persson J. ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Winsth F. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jönköping won 1.

Jönköping is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Värnamo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Värnamo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Jönköping to win the game is with odds 5.3.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Jönköping won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Jönköping won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.08.24	Jönköpings Södra - Torn	3:0 ✺
12.08.24	Jönköpings Södra - Trollhättan	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Torslanda - Jönköpings Södra	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Jönköpings Södra - AFC Malmö	1:0 ✺
24.06.24	Trollhättan - Jönköpings Södra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTWW
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.08.24	Värnamo - Hammarby	0:3 ✺
10.08.24	IFK Göteborg - Värnamo	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Värnamo - Sirius	2:4 ✺
27.07.24	Halmstad - Värnamo	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Värnamo - Häcken	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.01.22	Värnamo - Jönköpings Södra	5:0
Swedish Superettan
16.09.21	Värnamo - Jönköpings Södra	2:0
02.08.21	Jönköpings Södra - Värnamo	0:3
13.08.18	Jönköpings Södra - Värnamo	1:3
11.06.18	Värnamo - Jönköpings Södra	0:1
Club Friendly
25.03.17	Jönköpings Södra - Värnamo	5:1
Swedish Superettan
04.08.15	Värnamo - Jönköpings Södra	1:1

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