Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 15

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Referee: Nishimura Y. (Jpn)


	Júbilo Iwata		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.7	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.87
	3.7	3.56	1.88	Watch
	3.95	3.8	1.95
	4.08	3.83	1.89
	3.7	3.6	1.8
	3.94	3.72	1.89	Watch
	3.8	3.65	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.64)	3.68 ↑ (3.55)	1.88 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
24.4%

Draw
25.6%

Urawa Red Diamonds
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26.5%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.8%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Júbilo Iwata - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 15. Suzuki K. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 16. Leo Gomes 7. Uehara R. 14. Matsumoto M. 10. Yamada H. 37. Hirakawa R. 99. Matheus Peixoto	1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 28. Scholz A. 5. Hoibraaten M. 66. Ohata A. 25. Yasui K. 3. Ito A. 13. Watanabe R. 38. Maeda N. 12. Thiago Santana 10. Nakajima S.
Substitutes
19. Bruno Jose 77. Fujiwara K. 41. Ishida M. 6. Ito M. 40. Kaneko S. 26. Nishikubo S. 20. Tsuboi Y. (G)	29. Horiuchi Y. 30. Koroki S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 27. Panya E. 2. Sakai H. 20. Sato Y. 47. Takeda H.
Coaches
Yokouchi A.	Hogmo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, Hoibraaten M. ⚽, Nakajima S. (A),
70', Yamada H. ↓, Kaneko S. ↑,
70', Leo Gomes ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Kaneko S. ⚽, Uehara R. (A),
81', Nakajima S. ↓, Panya E. ↑,
81', Ishihara H. ↓, Sakai H. ↑,
81', Thiago Santana ↓, Koroki S. ↑,
81', Matsumoto M. ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 1.

Iwata is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Urawa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Urawa is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Iwata won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
15.05.24	Consadole Sapporo - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu	0:3 ✺
06.05.24	Tokyo Verdy - Júbilo Iwata	3:2 ✺
03.05.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Júbilo Iwata - Machida Zelvia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLTW
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
15.05.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga	3:0 ✺
11.05.24	Albirex Niigata - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:4 ✺
06.05.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:1 ✺
28.04.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
13.08.22	Júbilo Iwata - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:6
19.03.22	Urawa Red Diamonds - Júbilo Iwata	4:1
20.07.19	Júbilo Iwata - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:3
03.05.19	Urawa Red Diamonds - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
15.08.18	Urawa Red Diamonds - Júbilo Iwata	4:0
01.04.18	Júbilo Iwata - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1
17.09.17	Júbilo Iwata - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:1

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