What is the expert prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

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Kawasaki Frontale vs Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, April 05, 2026)

Match Info

J1 League - Round 9

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan
World	Onefootball


	Kawasaki Frontale		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.58	3.4	2.48	Watch
	2.75	3.57	2.57
	2.66	3.57	2.52	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.45
	2.63	3.42	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.31)	3.46 ↓ (3.66)	2.5 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
35.5%

Draw
27.1%

Urawa Red Diamonds
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

26.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kawasaki Frontale's form might have worsened.

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	85.7%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 2. Matsunagane Y. 28. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 9. Erison	1. Nishikawa S. (G) 14. Sekine T. 3. Danilo Boza 5. Nemoto K. 88. Naganuma Y. 25. Yasui K. 22. Shibato K. 77. Kaneko T. 13. Watanabe R. (C) 8. Matheus Savio 45. Onaiwu A.
Substitutes
32. Hayashi S. 27. Kamihashi R. 38. Kanda S. 19. Kawahara S. 11. Kobayashi Y. 24. Miyagi T. 15. Myogan T. 91. Romanic L. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G)	7. Abe H. 36. Hidano R. 4. Ishihara H. 9. Kiese I. 10. Nakajima S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 26. Ogiwara T. 37. Ueki H.
Coaches
Hasebe S.	Skorza M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Nemoto K. ⚽, Matheus Savio (A),
9', 1 - 1, Danilo Boza (Own goal),
15', Danilo Boza ↓, Ueki H. ↑,
43', Wakizaka Y. 🟨,
45+4', Erison 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Kaneko T. ⚽, Onaiwu A. (A),
69', Erison ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
69', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
76', Ito T. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Romanic L. ⚽, Yamamoto Y. (A),
81', Kaneko T. ↓, Hidano R. ↑,
81', Yasui K. ↓, Abe H. ↑,
86', Shibato K. 🟨,
89', Onaiwu A. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
89', Matheus Savio ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
89', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Kawahara S. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 1.

Kawasaki has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Urawa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Urawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Urawa has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Kawasaki: Sasaki A. (Hamstring Injury) Taniguchi H. (Hamstring Injury) Yamaichi S. (Illness)

There will not play in Urawa: Matsuo Y. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Kawasaki: Ozeki Y. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).

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Last Results with these Odds

Urawa Red Diamonds - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.27%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
28.03.26	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 penalties ✺
22.03.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:5 ✺
18.03.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Kashima Antlers - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
22.03.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashiwa Reysol	1:2 penalties ✺
14.03.26	Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Mito HollyHock	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kashima Antlers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale	4:0
YBC Levain Cup
07.09.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:2 ET
03.09.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1
Japan J1 League
21.05.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:2
22.11.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1
03.05.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:1
24.06.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1

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Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide