Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Het Lisp (Lier)

Referee: Willems L. (Bel)


	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar		Lommel

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.8	2.2	Watch
	2.85	3.7	2.2
	2.9	3.72	2.32
	2.75	3.5	2.2
	2.76	3.68	2.27
	2.75	3.65	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.45)	3.68 ↑ (3.66)	2.23 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
33.4%

Draw
25.2%

Lommel
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

25.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lommel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

K Lyra Lierse Berlaar - Lommel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. K Lyra-Lierse will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Lommel will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lommel: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Teunckens J. (G) 24. Libert J. 3. Marijnissen L. 4. Nkaka A. 44. Poelmans J. 6. Brebels S. 18. Schouterden N. 10. De Bruyn A. 8. Van Acker T. 28. Ocansey E. 7. Oulare O.	20. De Busser J. (G) 2. Aguilar K. 38. Amankwah Y. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 15. Schoofs L. 8. Dermane K. 23. Granell A. 19. Arthur Sales 10. Vetokele I. 30. Vancsa Z.
Substitutes
80. Bjekovic L. 26. Cools J. 12. De Smet J. (G) 70. El Touile S. 77. Foubert L. 64. Kireev M. 20. Vanderhallen S.	24. Gordic D. 7. Henkens R. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 3. Nizet R. 21. Santos A. 32. Talvitie J. 4. Wuytens S.
Coaches
Christiaens J.	Bould S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar won 3.

Recent matches K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lommel is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar have a series of guest games.

Recently Lommel have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-20.

Including matches at home between the teams K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.08.23	Dender EH - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:2 ✺
20.08.23	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Brugge U23 - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Dessel Sport - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	1:2 ✺
29.07.23	Cappellen - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWT
- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
26.08.23	Lommel - Deinze	1:0 ✺
18.08.23	Lommel - Brugge U23	1:0 ✺
13.08.23	Oostende - Lommel	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Lommel - FC Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Lommel - Jong PSV	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.02.23	Lommel - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	0:2
23.10.22	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Lommel	3:1
05.03.22	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Lommel	0:2
28.01.22	Lommel - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	0:1
05.12.21	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Lommel	2:2
19.09.21	Lommel - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	3:1
20.03.21	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Lommel	0:1

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