Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Soevereinstadion (Lommel)

Referee: Staessens B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1


	Lommel		Deinze

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.75
	2.35	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.44	3.5	3.02
	2.4	3.28	2.91	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.8
	2.3	3.38	2.84	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.21)	3.39 ↓ (3.43)	2.84 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
40.1%

Draw
27.3%

Deinze
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Deinze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deinze than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Lommel - Deinze Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lommel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pieklak M. (G) 2. Aguilar K. 14. Tolinsson J. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 17. Dermane K. 98. Boukammiri M. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 33. Diego Rosa 11. Santos A. 9. van Duiven J.	31. Miras N. (G) 7. Staelens A. (C) 23. Schuermans K. 13. Prychynenko D. 16. Janssens C. 30. Klas D. 4. Sierra J. 18. van Landschoot J. 8. De Schryver G. 11. Fdaouch Z. 14. Daci E.
Substitutes
13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 66. Franssen T. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 8. Kebe I. 56. Lama J. 64. Letsosa T. 18. McGrath D. 80. Stevanovic F. 31. Vercauteren R. (G)	6. De Ridder S. 55. Dierckx T. 28. Dutoit W. (G) 9. Mertens L. 81. Musuayi Y. 25. Spegelaere A. 21. Van Acker T. 17. Vansteenkiste J. 5. Welch R.
Coaches
Bould S.	Losada H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Diego Rosa ⚽, Boukammiri M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', van Landschoot J. ↓, Mertens L. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Daci E. (Pen),
62', Santos A. ↓, Stevanovic F. ↑,
72', Diego Rosa ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
81', De Schryver G. ↓, Dierckx T. ↑,
81', Klas D. ↓, Van Acker T. ↑,
90+1', Tolinsson J. 🟨,
90+4', Daci E. ↓, Musuayi Y. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lommel won 3.

Lommel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Deinze is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deinze could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lommel won 9 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 34:27 (average 1.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Lommel won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:11 (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.11.24	Brugge U23 - Lommel	1:3 ✺
25.10.24	Genk U23 - Lommel	0:4 ✺
19.10.24	Lommel - Eupen	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	RFC Liège - Lommel	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Lommel - Lierse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTTT
- SK Deinze
Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.11.24	Deinze - Beveren	3:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
31.10.24	Royal Antwerp - Deinze	6:1 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
26.10.24	RWDM Brussels - Deinze	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Deinze - Genk U23	1:0 ✺
04.10.24	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Deinze	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
12.05.24	Deinze - Lommel	1:2
05.05.24	Lommel - Deinze	1:1
13.04.24	Deinze - Lommel	3:2
26.08.23	Lommel - Deinze	1:0
14.04.23	Lommel - Deinze	4:1
18.03.23	Deinze - Lommel	1:1
11.12.22	Lommel - Deinze	1:0

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