Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 33

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Soevereinstadion (Lommel)

Referee: de Beuckelaer A. (Bel)


	Lommel		Brugge U23

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	8	Watch
	1.29	5.3	8.1	Watch
	1.32	5.3	9.35
	1.37	5.13	7.08	Watch
	1.29	4.75	9
	1.3	5.34	8.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.42)	5.1 ↑ (4.48)	8.42 ↑ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
70.8%

Draw
18.2%

Brugge U23
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

20.4%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

19.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lommel's performance.

Brugge U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brugge U23 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lommel - Brugge U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: Lommel will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pieklak M. (G) 3. Eyoma T. 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 5. Wouters D. 79. De Grand S. 18. Lopez L. 98. Salah M. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 93. Vancsa Z. 30. Seuntjens R. 10. Reyners T.	81. Vanden Driessche A. (G) 95. Elbay M. 98. Wins A. 93. Verlinden W. 90. Garcia A. 73. Goemaere L. (C) 86. Okon G. 78. Lund-Jensen T. 85. Koren T. N. 72. Da Silva J. 99. Musuayi Y.
Substitutes
46. Corthouts N. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 64. Ohaka D. 34. Oware H. 73. Reumers A. 8. Rommens N. 80. Stevanovic F. 14. Tolinsson J. 11. van Duiven R.	97. Amengai N. 83. Audoor S. 74. Bisiwu J. 79. Buifrahi R. 70. Granados A. 91. Kestemont T. (G) 89. Van Britsom J. 96. Wylin S. 66. Yameogo A.
Coaches
Johnson L.	De Roeck J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Banguera Riascos J. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Da Silva J. ↓, Amengai N. ↑,
62', Vancsa Z. ↓, Rommens N. ↑,
62', Eyoma T. ↓, Tolinsson J. ↑,
67', Seuntjens R. ↓, van Duiven R. ↑,
67', Wouters D. ↓, Oware H. ↑,
79', Lund-Jensen T. ↓, Bisiwu J. ↑,
79', Garcia A. ↓, Van Britsom J. ↑,
79', Wins A. ↓, Audoor S. ↑,
86', Elbay M. ↓, Wylin S. ↑,
87', Salah M. ↓, Reumers A. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Musuayi Y. ⚽,
90+4', Okon G. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Lommel is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Promotion )

Brugge U23 is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 4.

Recent performances by Lommel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brugge U23's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Lommel has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lommel is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lommel won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Club Brugge KV U23	6	2	2	2	11:13	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
04.04.26	Lommel - RWDM Brussels	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Lommel - Francs Borains	3:1 ✺
11.03.26	Gent U23 - Lommel	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Lommel - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Lommel - Seraing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTTL
- Club Brugge U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
04.04.26	Brugge U23 - Eupen	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gent U23 - Brugge U23	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Brugge U23 - Beveren	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Genk U23 - Brugge U23	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Lierse - Brugge U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
24.09.25	Brugge U23 - Lommel	0:2
07.02.25	Lommel - Brugge U23	0:2
01.11.24	Brugge U23 - Lommel	1:3
13.01.24	Brugge U23 - Lommel	0:2
18.08.23	Lommel - Brugge U23	1:0
20.01.23	Brugge U23 - Lommel	2:1
15.10.22	Lommel - Brugge U23	3:4

Lommel - Brugge U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide