Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 22

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Akureyrarvöllur (Akureyri)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	KA Akureyri		Breiðablik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3.90	2.05
	2.63	3.75	2.12	Watch
	3.11	4.20	2.11
	2.91	4.24	2.11	Watch
	2.95	4.15	2.05
	3.00	4.05	2.03	Watch
	2.85	3.95	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.72)	4.03 ↓ (4.21)	2.08 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KA Akureyri
32.1%

Draw
23.1%

Breiðablik
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

22.4%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

22.6%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KA Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

KA Akureyri - Breiðablik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thorhallsson I. (G) 30. Hrafnkelsson G. 28. Gudmundsson H. (C) 23. Petursson M. M. 2. Baldvinsson B. 6. Romer A. 14. Djuric D. 8. Pedersen J. 21. Thordarson M. 91. Kristinsson S. 7. Palsson A.	1. Einarsson A. (G) 9. Omarsson O. 4. Orrason A. 21. Margeirsson V. 18. Ingvarsson D. 13. Ludviksson A. (C) 14. Karlsson H. 29. Hallsson G. 23. Kristinsson K. 22. Arnarsson J. 99. Ulfarsson T.
Substitutes
13. Audunsson S. (G) 25. Helgason B. 75. Johannsson I. 32. Johannsson S. 20. Montiel D. 77. Morales Einarsson O. A. 16. Robertsson J. 11. Sigurgeirsson A. 22. Steingrimsson H.	5. Arnason I. 11. Bjarnason A. 32. Bjorgvinsson K. 8. Einarsson V. 16. Fjeldsted D. 7. Gunnlaugsson H. 33. Gunnleifsson A. 12. Snaeholm G. (G) 10. Steindorsson K.
Coaches
Jonasson H.	Skulason O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Gudmundsson H. ⚽, Djuric D. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Orrason A. ⚽, Arnarsson J. (A),
21', Orrason A. 🟨,
36', Kristinsson S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kristinsson K. 🟨,
55', Pedersen J. 🟨,
62', Kristinsson K. ↓, Fjeldsted D. ↑,
62', Karlsson H. ↓, Gunnlaugsson H. ↑,
62', Ludviksson A. ↓, Einarsson V. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Thordarson M. ⚽, Baldvinsson B. (A),
69', Palsson A. ↓, Montiel D. ↑,
69', Djuric D. ↓, Robertsson J. ↑,
78', Kristinsson S. ↓, Sigurgeirsson A. ↑,
84', Ulfarsson T. ↓, Gunnleifsson A. ↑,
84', Arnarsson J. ↓, Bjarnason A. ↑,
90+1', Pedersen J. ↓, Helgason B. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

KA Akureyri is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KA Akureyri won 0.

KA Akureyri has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Breiðablik has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KA Akureyri won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:42. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, KA Akureyri won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Breidablik ✔	24	9	6	9	47:46	1	33

Last Results with these Odds

Breiðablik - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.89%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
30.08.26	Fram - KA Akureyri	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	KA Akureyri - KR Reykjavík	3:5 ✺
17.08.26	Valur - KA Akureyri	4:4 ✺
09.08.26	KA Akureyri - FH Hafnarfjordur	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	Keflavík - KA Akureyri	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTLL
- Breiðablik UBK
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
31.08.26	Breiðablik - Stjarnan	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Breiðablik - Fram	3:4 ✺
16.08.26	KR Reykjavík - Breiðablik	3:3 ✺
09.08.26	Breiðablik - Valur	1:3 ✺
04.08.26	Thor Akureyri - Breiðablik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.06.26	Breiðablik - KA Akureyri	3:1
03.08.25	Breiðablik - KA Akureyri	1:1
11.05.25	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	0:1
Icelandic Super Cup
30.03.25	Breiðablik - KA Akureyri	3:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
01.09.24	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	2:3
19.06.24	Breiðablik - KA Akureyri	2:1
13.08.23	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	1:1

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