Match Info

Besta deild karla - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hlídarendi (Reykjavík) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iceland	13:00	SÝN Sport Ísland
International	13:00	OneFootball TV


	Valur		KA Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	4.00	2.45
	2.10	3.80	2.63	Watch
	2.42	4.27	2.59
	2.31	4.22	2.61	Watch
	2.35	3.95	2.55
	2.40	4.07	2.46	Watch
	2.34	4.00	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.02)	4.04 ↓ (4.29)	2.54 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
40.3%

Draw
23%

KA Akureyri
36.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

22%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

22.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valur's form might have worsened.

KA Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KA Akureyri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KA Akureyri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valur - KA Akureyri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Agustsson S. (G) 5. Arnarsson K. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 7. Fridjonsson S. 19. Gardarson D. 12. Haraldsson T. 17. Heimisson L. 4. Nakkim M. 21. Palsson J. 24. Veldman M. 29. Veseli S.	13. Audunsson S. (G) 29. Arnason J. 2. Baldvinsson B. 28. Gudmundsson H. (C) 30. Hrafnkelsson G. 7. Palsson A. 8. Pedersen J. 23. Petursson M. M. 6. Romer A. 10. Steingrimsson H. 21. Thordarson M.
Substitutes
30. Eiriksson P. 3. Gunnarsson H. 27. Heiddalur G. 16. Kristjansson L. 20. Omarsson O. 95. Petersson T. (G) 1. Schram F. (G) 26. Sigurbjornsson E. 45. Wissler J.	14. Djuric D. 25. Helgason B. 99. Ingolfsson J. (G) 32. Johannsson S. 91. Kristinsson S. 20. Montiel D. 16. Robertsson J. 44. Saevarsson V. 22. Steingrimsson H.
Coaches
Brazell C.	Jonasson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Veldman M. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Palsson A. ⚽, Thordarson M. (A),
39', Palsson A. 🟨,
45', Arnarsson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Haraldsson T. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Gardarson D. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
61', Arnason J. 🟨,
68', Thordarson M. ↓, Saevarsson V. ↑,
75', Palsson A. ↓, Robertsson J. ↑,
75', Pedersen J. ↓, Kristinsson S. ↑,
81', Veseli S. 🟨,
82', Hrafnkelsson G. ↓, Helgason B. ↑,
83', Palsson J. ↓, Gunnarsson H. ↑,
87', Veseli S. ↓, Sigurbjornsson E. ↑,
90+1', Heimisson L. ↓, Omarsson O. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 1, Gardarson D. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 3.

Valur has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

KA Akureyri is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Valur has recorded 11 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:29 (averaging 1.9:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Valur against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 21:14 goals (averaging 2.3:1.6 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
10.10.26	Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:5 ✺
20.09.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Valur - Thor Akureyri	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keflavík - Valur	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Valur - Akraness	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWWT
- KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
10.10.26	Stjarnan - KA Akureyri	0:3 ✺
19.09.26	KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Fram - KA Akureyri	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.08.26	Valur - KA Akureyri	4:4
22.05.26	KA Akureyri - Valur	0:1
27.06.25	KA Akureyri - Valur	2:5
23.04.25	Valur - KA Akureyri	3:1
06.08.24	KA Akureyri - Valur	1:0
Icelandic Cup
02.07.24	KA Akureyri - Valur	3:2
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
11.05.24	Valur - KA Akureyri	3:1

Valur - KA Akureyri