Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 19

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: Hlídarendi (Reykjavík)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Valur		KA Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.60	4.20
	1.62	4.10	3.85	Watch
	1.58	4.88	4.79
	2.02	4.24	3.1	Watch
	1.54	4.80	4.75
	1.61	4.73	4.21	Watch
	1.58	4.70	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.05)	4.58 ↑ (3.83)	4.19 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valur
57.1%

Draw
20.5%

KA Akureyri
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

24.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

23.9%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valur's performance.

KA Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KA Akureyri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KA Akureyri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Valur - KA Akureyri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Valur will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schram F. (G) 22. Heimisson B. 4. Nakkim M. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 24. Veldman M. 7. Fridjonsson S. 19. Gardarson D. 17. Heimisson L. 10. Jonsson J. 9. Pedersen P. 12. Haraldsson T.	1. Thorhallsson I. (G) 30. Hrafnkelsson G. 3. Gautason K. 2. Baldvinsson B. (C) 17. Kroon S. 6. Romer A. 29. Arnason J. 8. Pedersen J. 10. Steingrimsson H. 21. Thordarson M. 7. Palsson A.
Substitutes
25. Agustsson S. (G) 5. Arnarsson K. 3. Gunnarsson H. 30. Heiddalur G. 11. Kristjansson L. 21. Palsson J. 26. Sigurbjornsson E. 29. Veseli S. 33. Wehmeier G.	14. Djuric D. 25. Hjartarson V. 99. Ingolfsson J. (G) 32. Johannsson S. 91. Kristinsson S. 20. Montiel D. 23. Petursson M. M. 16. Robertsson J. 44. Saevarsson V.
Coaches
Brazell C.	Jonasson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Arnason J. ⚽, Palsson A. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Steingrimsson H. ⚽, Pedersen J. (A),
21', 1 - 2, Eyjolfsson H. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
39', 1 - 3, Arnason J. ⚽, Gautason K. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Veldman M. ↓, Gunnarsson H. ↑,
52', Arnason J. ↓, Montiel D. ↑,
61', 2 - 3, Pedersen P. ⚽, Eyjolfsson H. (A),
61', Gardarson D. ↓, Veseli S. ↑,
61', Hrafnkelsson G. ↓, Robertsson J. ↑,
67', 3 - 3, Pedersen P. ⚽, Eyjolfsson H. (A),
72', Palsson A. ↓, Petursson M. M. ↑,
72', Pedersen J. ↓, Saevarsson V. ↑,
78', 3 - 4, Steingrimsson H. ⚽,
79', Pedersen P. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
79', Heimisson B. ↓, Arnarsson K. ↑,
83', 4 - 4, Haraldsson T. ⚽, Heimisson L. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valur won 3.

Valur is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KA Akureyri has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

KA Akureyri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Valur could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valur won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Valur won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 2.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valur Reykjavik
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Nordsjælland - Valur	5:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
09.08.26	Breiðablik - Valur	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Valur - Nordsjælland	0:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.08.26	Valur - Stjarnan	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Valur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLLT
- KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
09.08.26	KA Akureyri - FH Hafnarfjordur	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	Keflavík - KA Akureyri	3:0 ✺
27.07.26	KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - KA Akureyri	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	KA Akureyri - Akraness	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.05.26	KA Akureyri - Valur	0:1
27.06.25	KA Akureyri - Valur	2:5
23.04.25	Valur - KA Akureyri	3:1
06.08.24	KA Akureyri - Valur	1:0
Icelandic Cup
02.07.24	KA Akureyri - Valur	3:2
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
11.05.24	Valur - KA Akureyri	3:1
07.08.23	Valur - KA Akureyri	4:2

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