Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Akureyrarvöllur (Akureyri)

Referee: Simani P. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Bold+
Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 2


	KA Akureyri		Silkeborg IF

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.55	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.62
	6	4.3	1.47	Watch
	5.4	4.13	1.58
	5.77	3.98	1.55	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.75
	5.97	4.34	1.55	Watch
	6.8	4.54	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↓ (8)	4.07 ↑ (3.8)	1.57 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KA Akureyri
17%

Draw
23%

Silkeborg IF
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.3%

23.9%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

18.5%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KA Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KA Akureyri's performance.

Silkeborg IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Silkeborg IF than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Silkeborg IF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	29.4%	64.7%

KA Akureyri - Silkeborg IF Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. KA Akureyri will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Silkeborg will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Silkeborg: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Silkeborg (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - KA Akureyri (2.48) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

TQ, OT - KA Akureyri (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Silkeborg (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. KA Akureyri (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Silkeborg (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Audunsson S. (G) 28. Gudmundsson H. 4. Rodri 5. Arnason I. (C) 22. Steingrimsson H. 8. Romer M. 77. Adalsteinsson B. 30. Hrafnkelsson G. 17. Ingason B. 7. Edmundsson J. S. 10. Steingrimsson H.	1. Larsen N. (C) 19. Gammelby J. 3. Ostrom R. 4. Ganchas P. 2. Poulsen A. 33. Freundlich M. 36. Nielsen J. 22. Al Hajj R. 17. McCowatt C. 10. Bakiz Y. 23. Adamsen T.
Substitutes
2. Baldvinsson B. 3. Gautason K. 9. Kjartansson V. 80. Kristinsson S. 23. Petursson M. M. 44. Saevarsson V. 11. Sigurgeirsson A. 14. Stefansson A. 26. Stole I. 21. Thordarson M. 12. Tonning W. (G) 25. Valsson D.	8. Andersen J. 30. Andresen A. (G) 14. Berger S. 41. Boesen O. 15. Bondergaard A. 20. Larsen M. 6. Mattsson P. 35. Mikkelsen S. 18. Montano L. 9. Simmelhack A.
Coaches
Jonasson H.	Nielsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Adamsen T. (Pen),
20', Adalsteinsson B. 🟨,
34', Larsen N. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Steingrimsson H. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Freundlich M. ↓, Mattsson P. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Adamsen T. ⚽, Gammelby J. (A),
59', Romer M. 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Adamsen T. ⚽, Bakiz Y. (A),
70', Ingason B. ↓, Sigurgeirsson A. ↑,
70', Edmundsson J. S. ↓, Kjartansson V. ↑,
78', Sigurgeirsson A. 🟨,
84', Hrafnkelsson G. ↓, Baldvinsson B. ↑,
84', Romer M. ↓, Valsson D. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Kjartansson V. ⚽, Sigurgeirsson A. (A),
87', Arnason I. ↓, Gautason K. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
96', Poulsen A. ↓, Montano L. ↑,
96', McCowatt C. ↓, Bondergaard A. ↑,
100', Kjartansson V. ↓, Stole I. ↑,
105', Al Hajj R. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,
105', Nielsen J. ↓, Larsen M. ↑,
114', 2 - 3, Adamsen T. ⚽, Andersen J. (A),
118', Bakiz Y. ↓, Boesen O. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

In recent matches, KA Akureyri has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Silkeborg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Silkeborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Silkeborg is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, KA Akureyri won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KA Akureyri
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.25	Silkeborg IF - KA Akureyri	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
19.07.25	KA Akureyri - Akraness	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri	5:0 ✺
06.07.25	KR Reykjavík - KA Akureyri	1:2 ✺
27.06.25	KA Akureyri - Valur	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43.3 TWLWL
- Silkeborg IF
Danish Superliga
27.07.25	Silkeborg IF - Fredericia	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.25	Silkeborg IF - KA Akureyri	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.07.25	Brøndby - Silkeborg IF	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	St. Pauli - Silkeborg IF	4:1 ✺
12.07.25	Silkeborg IF - Thisted	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.25	Silkeborg IF - KA Akureyri	1:1

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