Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday


	KDV Tomsk		Chertanovo

	1	X	2
	1.43	5.39	5.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (2.32)	5.39 ↑ (3.5)	5.49 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

KDV Tomsk
65.5%

Draw
17.4%

Chertanovo
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

25.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KDV Tomsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KDV Tomsk's performance.

Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chertanovo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KDV Tomsk than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KDV Tomsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chertanovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Gaynullin R. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Grachev M. ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, Gaynullin R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 3, Kondrakov D. ⚽,
60', 1 - 4, Melnikov M. ⚽,
62', 2 - 4, Kondrakov D. ⚽,

Preview

KDV has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Chertanovo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

KDV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, KDV is a strong favorite.

We predict that KDV will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KDV Tomsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
23.08.26	KDV Tomsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Izhevsk - KDV Tomsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	KDV Tomsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
02.08.26	KDV Tomsk - Orenburg-2	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
30.07.26	Temp Barnaul - KDV Tomsk	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW
- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
23.08.26	Chertanovo - Volga Tver	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Iskra Smolensk - Chertanovo	0:3 ✺
02.08.26	Luki-Energiya - Chertanovo	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Chertanovo - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	Irkutsk - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLTT

Upcoming Matches