Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Chertanovo		Zvezda St. Petersburg

	1	X	2
	1.54	4.01	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	4.01 ↑ (3.98)	5.45 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertanovo
60%

Draw
23%

Zvezda St. Petersburg
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

22.3%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Zvezda St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Chertanovo - Zvezda St. Petersburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Aliev N. ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, Seitov T. ⚽,

Preview

Chertanovo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zvezda SP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Chertanovo is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Chertanovo will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chertanovo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chertanovo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Zvezda St. Peterburg	24	5	9	10	28:44	-16	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chertanovo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
05.07.26	Irkutsk - Chertanovo	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Chertanovo - Dynamo Vologda	1:1 ✺
21.06.26	Baltika 2 - Chertanovo	1:3 ✺
14.06.26	Chertanovo - Yenisey 2	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Kosmos Dolgoprudny - Chertanovo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWWW
- Zvezda St. Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
04.07.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Cherepovets - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Spartak 2 Moscow	2:3 ✺
14.06.26	Volga Tver - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Iskra Smolensk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
04.04.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Chertanovo	4:0
27.07.25	Chertanovo - Zvezda St. Petersburg	4:0
06.04.25	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Chertanovo	2:2
04.08.24	Chertanovo - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
05.05.23	Chertanovo - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:0

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