Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	KFUM 2		Ullern

	1	X	2
	1.44	5.50	4.20
	1.93	3.95	2.90
	1.42	5.13	4.67
	1.5	5.2	4.42	Watch
	1.40	5.05	4.60
	1.38	6.62	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.18)	5.24 ↑ (4.13)	4.42 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KFUM 2
61.3%

Draw
17.7%

Ullern
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

22.2%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

21.2%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KFUM 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KFUM 2's performance.

Ullern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ullern might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KFUM 2 than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KFUM 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ullern could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KFUM 2 - Ullern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Evensen B. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Stofring T. ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, Evensen B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 3, Grodem M. ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10th and 12th in the Relegation).

Recent results have been tough for KFUM 2 (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Ullern have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

KFUM 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, KFUM 2 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 3:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for KFUM 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ullern	22	7	2	13	42:58	-16	23
11	KFUM Oslo 2	22	6	3	13	41:64	-23	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFUM 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
29.09.26	Union Carl Berner - KFUM 2	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Konnerud - KFUM 2	0:1 ✺
21.09.26	KFUM 2 - Ready	2:5 ✺
14.09.26	Asker Fotball - KFUM 2	7:2 ✺
07.09.26	KFUM 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLLL
- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
26.09.26	Heming - Ullern	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ullern - Vålerenga 2	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ready - Ullern	4:3 ✺
05.09.26	Ullern - Asker Fotball	2:6 ✺
30.08.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Ullern	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
20.06.26	Ullern - KFUM 2	2:3
25.06.18	KFUM 2 - Ullern	3:4

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