Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Ullern		Vålerenga 2

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.00	2.80
	1.92	4.25	2.8
	1.77	4.38	3.14
	1.91	4.38	2.99	Watch
	1.75	4.3	3.1
	1.89	4.64	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.58)	4.33 ↑ (4.3)	2.97 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullern
48.5%

Draw
20.9%

Vålerenga 2
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

20.5%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

20.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ullern's form might have worsened.

Vålerenga 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vålerenga 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ullern, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga 2 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vålerenga 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ullern - Vålerenga 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 1 - 0, Nouri A. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, Lindahn E. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 5th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Ullern is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ullern has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:9 (averaging 0.8:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ullern against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Valerenga 2	22	13	1	8	52:56	-4	40
9	Ullern	22	7	2	13	42:58	-16	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
12.09.26	Ready - Ullern	4:3 ✺
05.09.26	Ullern - Asker Fotball	2:6 ✺
30.08.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Ullern	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Ullern - Union Carl Berner	4:1 ✺
08.08.26	Ullern - Gamle Oslo	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL
- Vålerenga 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
12.09.26	Vålerenga 2 - Gamle Oslo	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vålerenga 2 - Konnerud	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Heming - Vålerenga 2	5:2 ✺
16.08.26	Vålerenga 2 - Ready	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Asker Fotball - Vålerenga 2	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
10.05.26	Vålerenga 2 - Ullern	3:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
17.09.19	Ullern - Vålerenga 2	0:2
26.05.19	Vålerenga 2 - Ullern	4:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
17.10.15	Ullern - Vålerenga 2	1:0

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