Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 21

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Heming		Ullern

	1	X	2
	1.39	5.25	5.00
	1.53	4.95	3.9
	1.57	5.52	3.75
	1.59	5.7	3.51	Watch
	1.54	5.4	3.15
	1.49	5.15	4.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 (1.52)	5.33 ↑ (4.2)	3.91 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heming
59.7%

Draw
17%

Ullern
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Ullern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heming than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullern than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Heming - Ullern Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Haugli S. ⚽,
56', 2 - 0, Ferrer U. ⚽,
60', (Penalty Awarded),
86', 3 - 0, Ferrer U. ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd and 10th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this matchup, Heming is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Heming has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Heming	22	13	4	5	58:36	22	43
9	Ullern	22	7	2	13	42:58	-16	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Heming
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
19.09.26	Grei - Heming	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Heming - Frigg Oslo	5:1 ✺
04.09.26	Gamle Oslo - Heming	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Heming - Vålerenga 2	5:2 ✺
15.08.26	Heming - Asker Fotball	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWL
- Ullern IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
19.09.26	Ullern - Vålerenga 2	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ready - Ullern	4:3 ✺
05.09.26	Ullern - Asker Fotball	2:6 ✺
30.08.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Ullern	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Ullern - Union Carl Berner	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
25.07.26	Ullern - Heming	1:3

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