Match Info

Division 2 - Round 27

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		KKS Kalisz

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.4	3.3
	1.93	3.45	3.4
	1.92	3.55	3.59
	1.95	3.57	3.66
	1.95	3.25	3.5
	1.88	3.5	3.56
	2.07	3.55	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.96)	3.47 ↑ (3.42)	3.47 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
47.2%

Draw
26.4%

KKS Kalisz
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

KKS Kalisz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-1%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Zagłębie 2 (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buric J. (G) 4. Abrahamsson A. 10. Adamczyk H. 3. Bondarenko M. 2. Dorozko J. 5. Jach J. (C) 7. Kruszelnicki P. 6. Makowski T. 9. Mikolajewski D. 11. Regula M. 8. Wandachowicz B.	1. Krakowiak M. (C) 6. Cierpka A. 9. Flisiuk K. 3. Gawlik M. 24. Glaz J. 10. Gordillo N. 16. Putno B. 42. Smolinski W. 5. Staszak J. 15. Staszak W. 4. Wypych M.
Substitutes
21. Antkiewicz F. 19. Czekala M. . Drozdzik O. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 16. Koczy K. 18. Laskowski K. 33. Malczuk N. 12. Slobodzian D. (G) 17. Zynek B.	8. Andruszko M. 71. Banasiak P. 23. Bialczyk M. 19. Chacinski M. 12. Ciolek M. (G) 20. Janiak K. 22. Maroszek W. 11. Skibicki K. 21. Szymanski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Staszak W. 🟨,
24', Dorozko J. ↓, Zynek B. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Makowski T. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
55', Staszak J. ↓, Bialczyk M. ↑,
55', Staszak W. ↓, Andruszko M. ↑,
61', Regula M. ↓, Laskowski K. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Mikolajewski D. ⚽,
64', Smolinski W. ↓, Janiak K. ↑,
73', Flisiuk K. ↓, Banasiak P. ↑,
73', Glaz J. ↓, Skibicki K. ↑,
84', Wypych M. 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Jach J. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zagłębie 2 won 1.

Zagłębie 2 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

KKS Kalisz is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zagłębie 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zagłębie 2 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Zagłębie 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1.6:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Zagłębie 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
12.04.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:3 ✺
09.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Resovia Rzeszów	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTLWW
- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
12.04.25	KKS Kalisz - Resovia Rzeszów	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - KKS Kalisz	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	KKS Kalisz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.02.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz	2:1
Polish Division 2
21.09.24	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1
Club Friendly
17.02.24	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1
Polish Division 2
25.11.23	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1
30.07.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz	0:0
04.06.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz	4:3
30.10.22	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	5:2

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