Match Info

Division 2 - Round 16

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Kalisz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	KKS Kalisz		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.25	2.42	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.52
	3.21	3.55	2.07	Watch
	2.56	3.15	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.21)	3.34 ↓ (3.55)	2.37 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KKS Kalisz
33.9%

Draw
27.4%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

26.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie Sosnowiec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KKS Kalisz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie Sosnowiec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krakowiak M. (C) 8. Andruszko M. 23. Bialczyk M. 10. Danielak K. 21. Flak J. 19. Paszkowski J. 16. Putno B. 33. Szwiec D. 4. Wypych M. 37. Zawistowski N. 59. Zdybowicz P.	1. Kabala M. (G) 6. Broniewski M. 8. Gogol P. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 3. Janiszewski G. 21. Matras M. (C) 92. Rakels D. 7. Ronnberg L. 17. Skora K. 43. Szot D. 16. Wasiluk B.
Substitutes
71. Banasiak P. 6. Cierpka A. 12. Ciolek M. (G) 9. Flisiuk K. 3. Gawlik M. 22. Kitowski N. 17. Mocny P. 80. Rozycki J. 11. Skibicki K.	10. Agbor E. 27. Borun B. 23. Checinski B. 22. Dziedzic I. 4. Kurtovic R. 20. Pawlusinski M. 87. Siuta K. (G) 11. Snopczynski B. 77. Zawojski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Zawistowski N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Rakels D. ↓, Snopczynski B. ↑,
59', Ronnberg L. ↓, Borun B. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Skora K. ⚽,
69', Paszkowski J. ↓, Cierpka A. ↑,
78', Danielak K. ↓, Banasiak P. ↑,
78', Broniewski M. ↓, Zawojski B. ↑,
79', Kitowski N. 🟨,
87', Andruszko M. ↓, Mocny P. ↑,
87', Zawistowski N. ↓, Gawlik M. ↑,
90', Flak J. 🟨,
90+3', Putno B. 🟨,
90+4', Wasiluk B. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

KKS Kalisz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, KKS Kalisz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, KKS Kalisz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
31.10.25	Warta Poznań - KKS Kalisz	4:2 ✺
24.10.25	KKS Kalisz - Śląsk Wrocław 2	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	KKS Kalisz - Resovia Rzeszów	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	GKS Jastrzębie - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	KKS Kalisz - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTWL
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
31.10.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
22.10.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
22.03.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - KKS Kalisz	0:1
25.08.24	KKS Kalisz - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2

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