Match Info

Division 2 - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.3	2.52
	2.54	3.59	2.5
	4.04	2.86	2.09	Watch
	2.47	3.3	2.49	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.63)	3.27 ↑ (3.11)	2.42 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
33.4%

Draw
28.3%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Stal Stalowa Wola - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Stepak J. (G) 4. Furtak L. (C) 23. Getinger K. 10. Hebel M. 8. Hrnciar L. 2. Kukulowicz B. 9. Lacki D. 16. Lelek K. 7. Radecki M. 17. Tomalski H. 6. Zemlo P.	1. Kabala M. (G) 27. Borun B. 6. Broniewski M. 23. Checinski B. 8. Gogol P. 21. Matras M. (C) 45. Pawlowski J. 7. Ronnberg L. 9. Shikavka Y. 17. Skora K. 43. Szot D.
Substitutes
43. Fedejko I. 77. Kendzia J. 20. Niedbala J. 99. Nowak O. 33. Smylek M. (G) 18. Surzyn M. 44. Tyburczy M. 19. Wolny D. 11. Zaucha P.	22. Dziedzic I. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 3. Janiszewski G. 19. Mucha P. 92. Rakels D. 87. Siuta K. (G) 11. Snopczynski B. 16. Wasiluk B. 77. Zawojski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Lacki D. ⚽,
60', Hebel M. 🟨,
66', Gogol P. ↓, Wasiluk B. ↑,
66', Borun B. ↓, Rakels D. ↑,
68', Lelek K. ↓, Zaucha P. ↑,
72', Hrnciar L. ↓, Niedbala J. ↑,
82', Checinski B. ↓, Dziedzic I. ↑,
82', Ronnberg L. ↓, Snopczynski B. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Zaucha P. ⚽,
83', Tomalski H. ↓, Wolny D. ↑,
83', Lacki D. ↓, Kendzia J. ↑,
83', Hebel M. ↓, Surzyn M. ↑,
86', Shikavka Y. 🟨,
86', Zemlo P. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

Stal Stalowa Wola has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stal Stalowa Wola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Stal Stalowa Wola - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 33.94%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 37.35%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 2
12.10.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:3 ✺
26.09.25	Warta Poznań - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Goczałkowice Zdrój II - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1 ET ✺
Polish Division 2
19.09.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
05.10.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
29.09.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:3 ✺
19.09.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Swit Skolwin	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Warta Poznań - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
02.05.15	Stal Stalowa Wola - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1
04.10.14	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1

Upcoming Matches