Match Info

Division 2 - Round 15

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Chojniczanka Chojnice

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.65	4.15
	2.02	3.65	3.25	Watch
	1.7	3.62	4.27	Watch
	1.68	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.97)	3.68 ↑ (3.25)	4.04 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
52.1%

Draw
25.1%

Chojniczanka Chojnice
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

26.5%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagłębie Sosnowiec's performance.

Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie Sosnowiec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kabala M. (G) 27. Borun B. 6. Broniewski M. 8. Gogol P. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 21. Matras M. (C) 45. Pawlowski J. 7. Ronnberg L. 9. Shikavka Y. 17. Skora K. 43. Szot D.	29. Primel D. (G) 2. Bakowicz M. 22. Bykov O. 24. Eizenchart B. 9. Firlej M. 34. Nowacki D. 66. Olejnik P. 20. Sabala V. (C) 7. Szczepanek B. 19. Tkocz M. 31. Zywicki J.
Substitutes
10. Agbor E. 22. Dziedzic I. 3. Janiszewski G. 20. Pawlusinski M. 92. Rakels D. 87. Siuta K. (G) 11. Snopczynski B. 16. Wasiluk B. 77. Zawojski B.	1. Antkowiak M. (G) 23. Araujo Guilherme J. L. 14. Gutowski K. 10. Kaminski D. 79. Kozina M. 15. Lemka D. 69. Michalik D. 8. Shibata S. 3. Yukhymovych D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Matras M. 🟨,
45+1', Tkocz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Zywicki J. ↓, Lemka D. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Gryszkiewicz A. (Own goal),
51', Eizenchart B. 🟨,
63', Firlej M. ↓, Kozina M. ↑,
63', Nowacki D. ↓, Araujo Guilherme J. L. ↑,
63', Bakowicz M. ↓, Kaminski D. ↑,
64', Skora K. ↓, Pawlusinski M. ↑,
73', Ronnberg L. ↓, Agbor E. ↑,
79', Sabala V. ↓, Michalik D. ↑,
81', Gogol P. ↓, Dziedzic I. ↑,
81', Borun B. ↓, Snopczynski B. ↑,
83', Szczepanek B. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Kaminski D. (Pen),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 2
25.10.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
22.10.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
29.09.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLWW
- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Swit Skolwin	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
25.10.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
22.10.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Hutnik	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
31.05.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:2
03.11.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1
Polish Division 1
23.04.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0
18.09.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1
14.07.20	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:3
26.10.19	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:3
14.04.18	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:2

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