Match Info

Ykkonen - Championship Group

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Kokkolan keskuskentta (Kokkola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KPV Kokkola		Mikkelin Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.9	2.1
	2.88	3.55	2.08
	2.86	3.67	2.25
	19.51	9.10	1.09	Watch
	3.15	3.6	2.05
	2.05	3.65	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↑ (2.14)	4.58 ↑ (3.72)	2.06 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KPV Kokkola
20.5%

Draw
24.7%

Mikkelin Palloilijat
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

24.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KPV Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KPV Kokkola's form might have worsened.

Mikkelin Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikkelin Palloilijat's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KPV Kokkola than the current prediction. (+23.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KPV Kokkola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-23.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikkelin Palloilijat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marsyla O. (G) 8. Adebanjo J. O. 11. Atakayi S. 7. Cardoso R. 3. Friberg F. 2. Kepot D. 5. Mfundu A. 23. Moilanen J. 16. Nyman L. 14. Valipakka V. 9. Wegye W. (C)	22. Uronen J. (C) 30. Ali Abubakar T. 7. Chishima A. 13. Coker M. 27. Forsell N. 19. Janhunen V. 15. Kuek A. 3. Kuismala J. 4. Laiho V. 8. Torniainen O. 25. Tsopgni N.
Substitutes
21. Aberg M. 19. Chipesse A. 30. Lansipaa O. 4. Nuorela J. 18. Petrishin J. 22. Suoraniemi K. (G)	11. Hayhanen O. 24. Hernesniemi S. 5. Karttunen A. 9. Karttunen V. 12. Kimari O. 1. Volotinen S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Marsyla O. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Ali Abubakar T. (Pen),
31', Forsell N. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Ali Abubakar T. ⚽,
41', Mfundu A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Wegye W. ↓, Chipesse A. ↑,
64', Nyman L. ↓, Petrishin J. ↑,
66', Torniainen O. ↓, Kimari O. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, (Own goal),
71', Kuismala J. 🟨,
78', Ali Abubakar T. ↓, Hernesniemi S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KPV won 0.

KPV is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mikkelin Palloilijat is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, KPV won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, KPV won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

KPV Kokkola - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.18%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KPV Kokkola
Finnish Ykkonen
13.09.25	KPV Kokkola - JJK Jyväskylä	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	KPV Kokkola - Inter Turku II	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Jazz Pori - KPV Kokkola	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	KPV Kokkola - Espoon Palloseura	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWL
- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
13.09.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Tampere United	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - JJK Jyväskylä	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Tampere United - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	OLS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
10.08.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	2:1
01.06.25	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:4
01.07.23	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:4
29.04.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	1:0
21.08.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	1:1
18.04.22	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
19.02.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	0:1

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