Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto (Mikkeli)


	Mikkelin Palloilijat		KPV Kokkola

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.6
	1.9	3.5	3.1
	1.95	3.45	3.25
	1.9	3.58	3.65
	1.26	5.39	9.67	Watch
	2	3.4	3.25
	2.06	3.55	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.02)	3.77 ↑ (3.7)	4.24 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Palloilijat
52%

Draw
25.4%

KPV Kokkola
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

24.3%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mikkelin Palloilijat's performance.

KPV Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KPV Kokkola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikkelin Palloilijat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KPV Kokkola than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KPV Kokkola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Uronen J. (C) 30. Ali Abubakar T. 7. Chishima A. 13. Coker M. 6. El Alami R. 27. Forsell N. 11. Hayhanen O. 19. Janhunen V. 15. Kuek A. 4. Laiho V. 25. Tsopgni N.	12. Marsyla O. (G) 10. Adarkwa J. 8. Adebanjo J. O. 11. Atakayi S. 7. Cardoso R. 3. Friberg F. 2. Kepot D. 4. Nuorela J. 17. Nuorela L. 14. Valipakka V. 9. Wegye W. (C)
Substitutes
5. Karttunen A. 9. Karttunen V. 12. Kimari O. 24. Krivetz N. 21. Sundberg K. 2. Torniainen A. 8. Torniainen O. 1. Volotinen S. (G)	21. Aberg M. 19. Chipesse A. 24. Koivisto W. 5. Mfundu A. 23. Moilanen J. 16. Nyman L. 18. Petrishin J. 22. Suoraniemi K. (G) 29. William M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Ali Abubakar T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Marsyla O. ↓, Suoraniemi K. ↑,
47', Valipakka V. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Coker M. ⚽,
61', Adarkwa J. ↓, Nyman L. ↑,
71', Valipakka V. ↓, Petrishin J. ↑,
71', Friberg F. ↓, Moilanen J. ↑,
82', Cardoso R. ↓, Chipesse A. ↑,
85', Adebanjo J. O. 🟨,
87', Forsell N. ↓, Karttunen V. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Wegye W. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 3.

Mikkelin Palloilijat is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

KPV has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mikkelin Palloilijat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mikkelin Palloilijat will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
06.08.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Atlantis Helsinki	3:1 ✺
01.08.25	KuPS Akatemia - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:6 ✺
29.07.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Keski-Uusimaa	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Jazz Pori - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:3 ✺
12.07.25	RoPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWL
- KPV Kokkola
Finnish Ykkonen
06.08.25	KPV Kokkola - RoPS	5:0 ✺
01.08.25	Atlantis Helsinki - KPV Kokkola	3:5 ✺
26.07.25	KPV Kokkola - JJK Jyväskylä	3:0 ✺
20.07.25	KuPS Akatemia - KPV Kokkola	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Keski-Uusimaa - KPV Kokkola	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
01.06.25	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:4
01.07.23	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:4
29.04.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	1:0
21.08.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	1:1
18.04.22	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
19.02.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	0:1
Finnish Ykkonen
10.10.21	KPV Kokkola - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1

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