Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Kokkolan keskuskentta (Kokkola)


	KPV Kokkola		Espoon Palloseura

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5
	1.46	4.4	4.8
	1.46	4.55	4.95
	1.5	4.65	5.43
	1.75	3.67	4.21	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.48	4.55	5.37
	1.69	4.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.69)	4.31 ↑ (4.1)	4.82 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KPV Kokkola
59.7%

Draw
21.3%

Espoon Palloseura
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

22.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

21.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KPV Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KPV Kokkola's performance.

Espoon Palloseura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KPV Kokkola than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

KPV Kokkola - Espoon Palloseura Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marsyla O. (G) 8. Adebanjo J. O. 11. Atakayi S. 7. Cardoso R. 3. Friberg F. 2. Kepot D. 4. Nuorela J. 17. Nuorela L. 16. Nyman L. 14. Valipakka V. 9. Wegye W. (C)	30. Lehtinen L. (G) 80. Aaltonen A. 19. Adawi O. 7. Azhar L. 15. Blumme V. 4. Gustafsson V. 38. Ojakangas E. 9. Pitkanen A. 5. Saynio E. (C) 2. Tashevci E. 8. Tella A.
Substitutes
21. Aberg M. 10. Adarkwa J. 19. Chipesse A. 5. Mfundu A. 23. Moilanen J. 18. Petrishin J. 22. Suoraniemi K. (G) 29. William M.	17. Ahmed M. 70. Haapiainen W. 23. Mapp A. 21. Paappanen E. 18. Ruusu A. 1. Tuokkola V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Tashevci E. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Pitkanen A. ⚽,
44', Lehtinen L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Nyman L. 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Wegye W. ⚽,
59', Azhar L. ↓, Haapiainen W. ↑,
59', Aaltonen A. ↓, Ruusu A. ↑,
59', Valipakka V. ↓, Adarkwa J. ↑,
83', Pitkanen A. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
87', Nyman L. ↓, Moilanen J. ↑,
90', Cardoso R. ↓, Chipesse A. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Atakayi S. ⚽,
90+5', Atakayi S. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

KPV has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

EPS has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

KPV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KPV is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, KPV won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, KPV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KPV Kokkola
Finnish Ykkonen
10.08.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KPV Kokkola	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	KPV Kokkola - RoPS	5:0 ✺
01.08.25	Atlantis Helsinki - KPV Kokkola	3:5 ✺
26.07.25	KPV Kokkola - JJK Jyväskylä	3:0 ✺
20.07.25	KuPS Akatemia - KPV Kokkola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWL
- Espoon Palloseura
Finnish Ykkonen
10.08.25	Espoon Palloseura - RoPS	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	JJK Jyväskylä - Espoon Palloseura	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Espoon Palloseura - Tampere United	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Inter Turku II - Espoon Palloseura	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Espoon Palloseura - OLS	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
08.06.25	Espoon Palloseura - KPV Kokkola	1:0
31.08.24	KPV Kokkola - Espoon Palloseura	1:0
13.06.24	Espoon Palloseura - KPV Kokkola	1:1

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