Match Info

Besta deild karla - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: KR-völlur (Reykjavík)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland
World	Onefootball


	KR Reykjavík		Afturelding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	4.1	3.4
	1.82	4.15	3.45
	1.89	4.43	3.65
	1.27	5.77	9.47	Watch
	1.79	4.2	3.63
	1.81	4.2	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	4.48 ↑ (4.27)	4.51 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KR Reykjavík
56.5%

Draw
21.8%

Afturelding
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

21.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

21.3%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KR Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

KR Reykjavík - Afturelding Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KR Reykjavík (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: KR Reykjavík will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Georgsson H. (G) 15. Gudbrandsson G. 4. Akoto M. 7. Palmason F. 21. Eyjolfsson G. 29. Albertsson A. 77. Kjartansson O. 17. Rae L. 11. Sigurdarson A. (C) 19. Cosic A. 9. Saebjornsson E.	1. Andresson J. (G) 25. Bjarnason G. 2. Sigmarsson G. 3. Andresson A. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 7. Johannsson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 8. Jonsson A. 21. Hafthorsson T. G. 10. Cogic E. 77. Magnusson H.
Substitutes
20. Andrason A. 27. Hlynsson R. 3. Juliusson J. 1. Olafsson A. (G) 16. Praest M. 6. Sigurdarson A. 25. Sigurdsson J. 23. Sigurjonsson A. 5. Styrmisson B.	27. Cogic E. 79. Dadason R. 19. Hugason S. 29. Ingason T. (G) 12. Johannesson A. (G) 28. Kassi L. 11. Ragnarsson A. 4. Runolfsson B. 20. Stokke B.
Coaches
Thorvaldsson O.	Einarsson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Saebjornsson E. ⚽,
27', Johannsson A. 🟨,
37', Kjartansson O. ↓, Praest M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', Rae L. ↓, Sigurjonsson A. ↑,
69', Sigurjonsson A. 🟨,
76', Cosic A. ↓, Sigurdarson A. ↑,
77', Hafthorsson T. G. ↓, Kassi L. ↑,
82', Johannsson A. ↓, Hugason S. ↑,
82', Jonsson A. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑,
89', Sigmarsson G. ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Saevarsson A. (Pen),
90+2', Andresson A. 🟨,
90+2', Kassi L. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Akoto M. ⚽, Sigurdarson A. (A),
90+5', 2 - 2, Cogic E. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', Albertsson A. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

KR Reykjavík is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Afturelding is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, KR Reykjavík is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KR Reykjavík won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:7. (average 4:1.4).

Including home match between the teams, KR Reykjavík won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KR Reykjavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.09.25	Akraness - KR Reykjavík	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	KA Akureyri - KR Reykjavík	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	KR Reykjavík - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:7 ✺
31.08.25	Vestri - KR Reykjavík	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	KR Reykjavík - Stjarnan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.09.25	Afturelding - KA Akureyri	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Afturelding	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Akraness - Afturelding	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Afturelding - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Valur - Afturelding	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
11.08.25	KR Reykjavík - Afturelding	2:1
18.05.25	Afturelding - KR Reykjavík	4:3
Icelandic League Cup
11.02.22	Afturelding - KR Reykjavík	0:5
06.03.20	Afturelding - KR Reykjavík	1:3
Icelandic Cup
01.05.18	Afturelding - KR Reykjavík	1:7

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