Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 21

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Varmárvöllur (Mosfellsbaer)

Referee: Gudmundsson P. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland
World	Onefootball


	Afturelding		FH Hafnarfjordur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.7	1.98
	3.15	3.95	1.95
	3.24	4.25	2
	3.36	3.97	1.94	Watch
	3	3.6	2
	3.3	3.91	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.5)	3.9 ↑ (3.6)	1.97 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afturelding
29.1%

Draw
23.8%

FH Hafnarfjordur
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.2%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

25.5%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afturelding's form might have worsened.

FH Hafnarfjordur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FH Hafnarfjordur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afturelding, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FH Hafnarfjordur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Afturelding - FH Hafnarfjordur Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andresson J. (G) 25. Bjarnason G. 8. Jonsson A. 3. Andresson A. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 7. Johannsson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 21. Hafthorsson T. G. 28. Kassi L. 77. Magnusson H. 20. Stokke B.	13. Rosenorn M. (G) 2. Jonsson B. 22. Olafsson I. 4. Faqa A. 21. Bodvarsson B. 6. Gunnarsson G. 37. Helgason B. 45. Finnbogason Kr. 10. Sverrisson B. (C) 7. Halldorsson K. 9. Hallsson S.
Substitutes
27. Cogic E. 79. Dadason R. 19. Hugason S. 29. Ingason T. (G) 12. Johannesson A. (G) 23. Palsson S. 11. Ragnarsson A. 4. Runolfsson B. 30. Sigurjonsson O.	24. Arnarsson D. (G) 27. Arnarsson J. 11. Bjarkason B. 16. Brynjolfsson B. 17. Fjeldsted D. 38. Gudmundsson A. 18. Ingvarsson E. 34. Steinbjornsson O. 32. Svavarsson A.
Coaches
Einarsson M.	Gudjonsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Sverrisson B. ⚽, Halldorsson K. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Magnusson H. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kassi L. ↓, Hugason S. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Hallsson S. ⚽,
65', Hafthorsson T. G. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑,
70', Finnbogason Kr. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
79', Gunnarsson G. ↓, Ingvarsson E. ↑,
85', Halldorsson K. ↓, Fjeldsted D. ↑,
85', Sverrisson B. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

Recent form of Afturelding has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Hafnarfjordur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hafnarfjordur is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.08.25	Valur - Afturelding	4:3 ✺
17.08.25	Afturelding - KA Akureyri	3:3 ✺
11.08.25	KR Reykjavík - Afturelding	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Afturelding - Vestri	1:1 ✺
28.07.25	Stjarnan - Afturelding	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTL
- FH Hafnarfjordur
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.08.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Breiðablik - FH Hafnarfjordur	4:5 ✺
11.08.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Akraness	3:2 ✺
03.08.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
01.06.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Afturelding	0:0
Icelandic League Cup
14.02.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Afturelding	3:6

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