Match Info

Besta deild karla - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Varmárvöllur (Mosfellsbaer)

Referee: Arnason E. I. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland
World	Onefootball


	Afturelding		KA Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.8	2.2
	2.81	3.95	2.27
	2.89	3.75	2.22	Watch
	2.78	3.86	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.85)	3.84 ↑ (3.71)	2.23 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Afturelding
33.5%

Draw
24.4%

KA Akureyri
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

25%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

24.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

KA Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Afturelding - KA Akureyri Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andresson J. (G) 2. Sigmarsson G. 8. Jonsson A. 3. Andresson A. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 16. Barkarson B. B. 10. Cogic E. 7. Johannsson A. 28. Kassi L. 77. Magnusson H. 20. Stokke B.	12. Tonning W. (C) 30. Hrafnkelsson G. 28. Gudmundsson H. 5. Arnason I. 2. Baldvinsson B. 77. Adalsteinsson B. 4. Rodri 26. Stole I. 10. Steingrimsson H. 17. Ingason B. 7. Edmundsson J. S.
Substitutes
27. Cogic E. 79. Dadason R. 21. Hafthorsson T. G. 19. Hugason S. 29. Ingason T. (G) 12. Johannesson A. (G) 11. Ragnarsson A. 4. Runolfsson B. 30. Sigurjonsson O.	88. Ingimarsson M. 99. Ingolfsson J. (G) 80. Kristinsson S. 18. Meira G. 23. Petursson M. M. 44. Saevarsson V. 14. Stefansson A. 22. Steingrimsson H. 25. Valsson D.
Coaches
Einarsson M.	Jonasson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Baldvinsson B. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Steingrimsson H. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Hrafnkelsson G. ↓, Steingrimsson H. ↑,
60', Kassi L. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
60', Edmundsson J. S. ↓, Valsson D. ↑,
60', Stole I. ↓, Saevarsson V. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Magnusson H. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Cogic E. ⚽,
71', Sigmarsson G. ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Magnusson H. ⚽, Barkarson B. B. (A),
76', Johannsson A. 🟨,
84', Stokke B. ↓, Cogic E. ↑,
84', Cogic E. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑,
84', Gudmundsson H. ↓, Petursson M. M. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Arnason I. ⚽,
90', Baldvinsson B. ↓, Kristinsson S. ↑,
90+3', Steingrimsson H. 🟨,
90+6', Magnusson H. 🟨,

Preview

Afturelding is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

KA Akureyri is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 2:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 2.3:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.09.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Afturelding	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Akraness - Afturelding	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Afturelding - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Valur - Afturelding	4:3 ✺
17.08.25	Afturelding - KA Akureyri	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLT
- KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.09.25	KA Akureyri - KR Reykjavík	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	KA Akureyri - Vestri	4:1 ✺
31.08.25	Stjarnan - KA Akureyri	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	KA Akureyri - Fram	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Afturelding - KA Akureyri	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.08.25	Afturelding - KA Akureyri	3:3
24.05.25	KA Akureyri - Afturelding	1:0
Icelandic League Cup
13.01.24	KA Akureyri - Afturelding	2:3
06.03.21	Afturelding - KA Akureyri	1:7
02.03.19	Afturelding - KA Akureyri	3:5

Upcoming Matches