Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Miejski Stadion Sportowy (Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski)


	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski		Hetman Zamość

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.25	11.50
	1.26	5	7.4
	1.28	5.2	7.92
	1.21	5.7	10.5	Watch
	1.24	5.1	7.8
	1.33	5.1	7.51	Watch
	1.49	4.1	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.49)	5.06 ↑ (4.1)	8.19 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
70.8%

Draw
18%

Hetman Zamość
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

21.6%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

20.3%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski's performance.

Hetman Zamość has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hetman Zamość might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hetman Zamość than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hetman Zamość could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Hetman Zamość Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
63', 1 - 0, Gorski M. ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, Skiba D. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 13th).

Ostrowiec is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hetman Zamość has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Ostrowiec as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ostrowiec in today's match, at odds of 1.31.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ostrowiec has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:1 (averaging 3.3:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ostrowiec against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:0 goals (averaging 3:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	11	5	5	1	16:9	7	20
10	Hetman Zamosc	11	3	5	3	20:20	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.09.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Wisła II Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Naprzód Jędrzejów	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Moravia Morawica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:4 ✺
23.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTWW
- Hetman Zamość
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
19.09.26	Hetman Zamość - Wisła II Kraków	3:3 ✺
12.09.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Hetman Zamość	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Hetman Zamość - Moravia Morawica	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Hetman Zamość	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Hetman Zamość - Wiślanie Skawina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
01.05.21	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Hetman Zamość	6:0
26.09.20	Hetman Zamość - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:4
26.10.19	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Hetman Zamość	0:0

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