Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Miejski Stadion Sportowy (Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski)


	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski		Wisła II Kraków

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.95	5.3
	1.41	4.11	5.78
	1.48	4.11	5.82	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.5
	1.44	4.2	5.92	Watch
	1.35	4.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.35)	4.15 ↓ (4.75)	5.65 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
62.5%

Draw
21.6%

Wisła II Kraków
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

18.6%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

17.8%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Wisła II Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła II Kraków than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Wisła II Kraków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Lisowski D. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Kroczek D. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Daczewski E. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Koscielniak D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 3 - 2, Lazarz P. (Penalty Awarded),
61', 3 - 3, Olejarka D. ⚽,
81', 4 - 3, Lazarz P. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Ostrowiec is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wisła II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wisła II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ostrowiec is the clear favorite.

We predict that Ostrowiec will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ostrowiec won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ostrowiec won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	11	5	5	1	16:9	7	20
12	Wisla II	11	3	4	4	13:16	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.05.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Stal Kraśnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Korona Kielce 2	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTWTW
- Wisła II Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
01.05.26	Wisła II Kraków - Korona Kielce 2	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Wisła II Kraków	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Wisła II Kraków - Świdniczanka Świdnik	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Wisła II Kraków	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Wisła II Kraków - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.10.25	Wisła II Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0
22.11.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Wisła II Kraków	2:1
03.08.24	Wisła II Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:1
31.08.16	Wisła II Kraków - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	Canceled

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