Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 29

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Siarka Tarnobrzeg		KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.72
	4.75	3.65	1.6
	5.02	4.03	1.55	Watch
	5.33	3.78	1.54	Watch
	3.79	3.79	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.79)	3.73 ↓ (3.79)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19.7%

Draw
24.2%

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Majewski M. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Mroz P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 2, Majewski M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 2.

In recent matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ostrowiec is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ostrowiec is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Siarka Tarnobrzeg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	11	5	5	1	16:9	7	20
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	11	4	2	5	14:15	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.04.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisłoka Dębica	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWLW
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Stal Kraśnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Korona Kielce 2	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Star Starachowice - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2
22.03.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:0
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:1
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.08.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:1
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.05.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2
Club Friendly
17.02.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:3

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