Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 29

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Wisła II Kraków		Korona Kielce 2

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.8	3.05
	1.98	4.02	3.09
	1.86	4.53	2.99	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.25
	1.81	3.95	3.38	Watch
	2.21	3.51	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.21)	3.9 ↑ (3.51)	3.05 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła II Kraków
46.9%

Draw
23.3%

Korona Kielce 2
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

25.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

24.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła II Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wisła II Kraków's performance.

Korona Kielce 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła II Kraków than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła II Kraków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Korona Kielce 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wisła II Kraków - Korona Kielce 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Tokarczyk K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 1 - 1, Tobola K. ⚽,
59', 1 - 2, Tobola K. ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, Olejarka D. ⚽,
88', 2 - 3, Kucharczyk K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wisła II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Wisła II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Wisla II	11	3	4	4	13:16	-3	13
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23:27	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła II Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.04.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Wisła II Kraków	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Wisła II Kraków - Świdniczanka Świdnik	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Wisła II Kraków	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Wisła II Kraków - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Czarni Połaniec - Wisła II Kraków	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLL
- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
25.04.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Korona Kielce 2	4:1 ✺
17.04.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Naprzód Jędrzejów	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Korona Kielce 2	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Star Starachowice	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.10.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Wisła II Kraków	0:2
15.03.25	Wisła II Kraków - Korona Kielce 2	2:4
21.08.24	Korona Kielce 2 - Wisła II Kraków	4:1

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