Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Haka		KaPa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.28	5.00	7.50
	1.43	4.10	5.40	Watch
	1.45	4.89	6.29
	1.43	4.85	6.27	Watch
	1.41	4.75	6.10
	1.39	4.60	6.15	Watch
	1.39	4.40	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)	4.66 ↑ (4.08)	6.22 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
65.6%

Draw
19.7%

KaPa
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

22.2%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

21.3%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

KaPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KaPa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Haka - KaPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lepola A. (C) 4. Auvinen E. 3. Friberg N. 16. Laaksonen O. 7. Lahdensuo T. 13. Mahlamaki M. 21. Nurmi K. 30. Purosalo V. 6. Silas C. 2. Tiihonen A. 77. Whyte O.	35. Lauri D. (G) 14. Ahola E. 9. Almen A. 8. Huhtamaki R. (C) 18. Jantunen E. 17. Jokiranta V. 24. Lahteenmaki P. 10. Lika Y. 3. Puputti S. 39. Savini S. 26. Toivonen H.
Substitutes
9. Ali Abubakar T. 11. Lanquedoc I. 23. Lehtinen T. 19. Martikainen N. 32. Slawuta F. (G) 5. Sovelius T. 15. Syrjalainen M.	1. Collin T. (G) 25. Kuningas M. 7. Leinonen N. 6. Nurmi N. 15. Pastinen A. 21. Rokman D.
Coaches
Ekmark T.	Lummepuro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Almen A. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Mahlamaki M. ⚽, Laaksonen O. (A),
34', Lahdensuo T. 🟨,
38', Jantunen E. ↓, Kuningas M. ↑,
45', 2 - 1, Lahdensuo T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Laaksonen O. 🟨,
54', Whyte O. 🟨,
61', Ahola E. ↓, Rokman D. ↑,
65', Lahdensuo T. ↓, Ali Abubakar T. ↑,
65', Nurmi K. ↓, Lanquedoc I. ↑,
74', Jokiranta V. ↓, Pastinen A. ↑,
74', Puputti S. ↓, Nurmi N. ↑,
75', Mahlamaki M. 🟨,
80', 3 - 1, Whyte O. ⚽,
83', Silas C. ↓, Syrjalainen M. ↑,
86', Laaksonen O. ↓, Lehtinen T. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 7).

Haka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

KaPa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Haka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Haka is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Haka won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Haka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Haka	25	13	5	7	47:29	18	44
8	KaPa	25	6	6	13	30:45	-15	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
17.07.26	Klubi 04 - Haka	2:2 ✺
11.07.26	Haka - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Haka	2:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.06.26	Haka - KTP Kotka	0:2 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
15.06.26	SJK Akatemia - Haka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWLLW
- KaPa
Finnish Ykkosliiga
21.07.26	KaPa - Klubi 04	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	KaPa - SJK Akatemia	2:2 ✺
10.07.26	PK-35 Vantaa - KaPa	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	KaPa - JäPS	3:1 ✺
13.06.26	JIPPO - KaPa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.04.26	Haka - KaPa	2:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
14.02.26	KaPa - Haka	1:1

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