Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday


	KV Reykjavik		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.7	1.87
	3.1	3.95	1.95
	3.25	3.7	1.87
	3.56	4.03	1.87
	3.4	3.6	1.85
	3.48	3.98	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.83)	3.83 ↑ (3.45)	1.88 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Reykjavik
27.4%

Draw
23.9%

Thor Akureyri
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26.6%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25.7%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thor Akureyri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thor Akureyri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

KV Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 8).

KV Reykjavik is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Thor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Thor will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches KV Reykjavik won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Reykjavik
Icelandic Division 1
03.09.22	KV Reykjavik - Vestri	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Þróttur Vogum - KV Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
23.08.22	KV Reykjavik - Grindavik	1:3 ✺
18.08.22	Afturelding - KV Reykjavik	4:1 ✺
12.08.22	KV Reykjavik - Fjölnir	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLL
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
03.09.22	Þróttur Vogum - Thor Akureyri	0:2 ✺
27.08.22	Thor Akureyri - Afturelding	0:0 ✺
23.08.22	Grótta - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
14.08.22	Thor Akureyri - HK Kópavogur	2:0 ✺
10.08.22	Selfoss - Thor Akureyri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
05.07.22	Thor Akureyri - KV Reykjavik	3:1
Icelandic League Cup
26.02.22	Thor Akureyri - KV Reykjavik	3:3

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