Match Info

TANZANIA: Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 14

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kaitaba Stadium (Bukoba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Kagera Sugar		Namungo

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.16	2.9	3.45
	2.16	2.93	3.53	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.4
	2.15	2.88	3.5
	2.16	2.9	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.3)	2.87 ↑ (2.5)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kagera Sugar
42.1%

Draw
31.6%

Namungo
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

35.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

27.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagera Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Namungo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kagera Sugar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Namungo than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Namungo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kagera Sugar - Namungo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Kabunda H. ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, Lwasa P. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
05.12.24	Kagera Sugar - Prisons	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Mashujaa - Kagera Sugar	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Azam - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
04.11.24	Kagera Sugar - Dodoma Jiji	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Coastal Union - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLWL
- Namungo FC
Tanzanian Premier League
30.11.24	Namungo - Young Africans	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Mashujaa - Namungo	1:0 ✺
31.10.24	Kinondoni MC - Namungo	1:0 ✺
28.10.24	Namungo - Pamba	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Simba - Namungo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
05.03.24	Namungo - Kagera Sugar	1:0
04.10.23	Kagera Sugar - Namungo	1:1
18.02.23	Kagera Sugar - Namungo	1:0
25.10.22	Namungo - Kagera Sugar	2:1
04.03.22	Kagera Sugar - Namungo	1:1
03.10.21	Namungo - Kagera Sugar	1:1
06.03.21	Kagera Sugar - Namungo	0:1

Upcoming Matches