Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 28

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)


	Kinondoni MC		Namungo

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.60	1.51
	6.50	4.35	1.36
	7.20	5.05	1.29
	7.70	5.15	1.31	Watch
	7.00	4.50	1.30
	10.20	4.90	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.39 ↑ (4.5)	4.59 ↑ (3.55)	1.34 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kinondoni MC
12.3%

Draw
19.8%

Namungo
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.8%

25%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

20.8%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kinondoni MC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kinondoni MC's form might have worsened.

Namungo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Namungo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kinondoni MC than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kinondoni MC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Namungo than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Namungo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kinondoni MC - Namungo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Mpank I. (G) 13. Anyimike B. 36. Chibada O. 12. Mosha N. J. 55. Moshi Z. 30. Mussa R. (C) 21. Mwaituka S. 14. Mwijage E. 44. Oreko E. 23. Paulo O. 50. Tondi K.	18. Suleiman A. (G) 15. Chamungu A. 60. Kazi H. 8. Kikoti L. (C) 10. Kipenye C. 50. Kiswanya A. 26. Luzendaze G. 2. Machupa A. 24. Masawe J. 29. Ngoye F. 6. Nsajigwa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Ngoye F. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Ngoye F. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 3, Ngoye F. ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Kinondoni is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kinondoni won 1.

Kinondoni has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Namungo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kinondoni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Namungo is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kinondoni won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kinondoni won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Namungo	7	2	0	5	6:11	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kinondoni MC
Tanzanian Premier League
12.06.26	Kinondoni MC - TRA United	0:1 ✺
25.05.26	Azam - Kinondoni MC	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	Kinondoni MC - Pamba	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Kinondoni MC	4:3 ✺
06.05.26	Kinondoni MC - Young Africans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Namungo FC
Tanzanian Premier League
16.06.26	Namungo - TRA United	0:0 ✺
12.06.26	Coastal Union - Namungo	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	Young Africans - Namungo	3:1 ✺
21.05.26	Namungo - Mbeya City	1:1 ✺
12.05.26	Singida Black Stars - Namungo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
31.01.26	Namungo - Kinondoni MC	1:0
06.04.25	Namungo - Kinondoni MC	2:1
31.10.24	Kinondoni MC - Namungo	1:0
24.02.24	Kinondoni MC - Namungo	2:2
19.08.23	Namungo - Kinondoni MC	1:1
24.01.23	Kinondoni MC - Namungo	1:3
01.10.22	Namungo - Kinondoni MC	0:0

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