Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Suez Canal Stadium (Ismailia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1


	Kahrabaa Ismailia		Al-Ittihad Alexandria

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.82	2.3	Watch
	3.77	2.8	2.47
	3.52	2.82	2.32
	3.3	2.7	2.4
	3.57	2.64	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.03)	2.76 ↓ (2.79)	2.35 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kahrabaa Ismailia
26.7%

Draw
33.8%

Al-Ittihad Alexandria
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

33.1%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

31.7%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kahrabaa Ismailia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kahrabaa Ismailia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kahrabaa Ismailia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	82.4%	17.6%

Kahrabaa Ismailia - Al Ittihad Alexandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 82.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. El Gabry A. (G) 2. Yehia K. 4. Awad I. 22. Sheta A. 88. Namgbema L. 28. Aka S. 20. Al Agouz S. 7. Rahim M. A. 25. Said M. 12. Ngwem J. 11. El Said O.	16. Genesh M. (G) 5. Ibrahim M. 4. Alaa M. 24. Gouda A. 22. Body 13. Tony M. 23. Isaac S. 27. Magdi A. 17. El Deeb K. 10. Afsha 18. Ebuka J.
Substitutes
16. Adel M. 3. El Fayoumi E. 5. Elkhashab S. 30. El Shazly H. 14. Farouk M. 8. Hamza A. 10. Maradona A. 29. Shika M. E. S. 13. Sulieman A.	41. Canaria 25. Emad M. 9. Farid F. 15. Liadi A. 90. Mabululu 14. Mohamed A. 6. Shabana M. 1. Soliman S. (G) 11. Wahid Y.
Coaches
El Sayed R.	Mostafa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Said M. ↓, Sulieman A. ↑,
45+6', Ebuka J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', El Said O. ↓, Shika M. E. S. ↑,
46', Awad I. ↓, El Shazly H. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Ebuka J. ⚽, Magdi A. (A),
58', 1 - 1, Sulieman A. ⚽, Ngwem J. (A),
61', Al Agouz S. ↓, Hamza A. ↑,
66', Body ↓, Wahid Y. ↑,
68', Sulieman A. 🟨,
76', Ebuka J. ↓, Mabululu ↑,
76', Tony M. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
77', El Deeb K. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
77', Ngwem J. ↓, Farouk M. ↑,
84', Genesh M. 🟨,
88', Alaa M. ↓, Farid F. ↑,
88', El Sayed R. 🟨,
89', Hamza A. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kahrabaa Ismailia has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kahrabaa Ismailia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kahrabaa Ismailia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Ittihad	5	3	1	1	6:3	3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ittihad Alexandria - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.35%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kahrabaa Ismailia
Egyptian Premier League
06.04.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Petrojet	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Modern Sport	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - ENPPI	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Pharco - Kahrabaa Ismailia	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Tala`ea El-Gaish	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTLWT
- Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League
04.04.26	El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Pharco	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Zamalek - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Ghazl El Mahalla	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Petrojet - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
24.12.25	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:1
Egyptian Cup
29.11.25	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Kahrabaa Ismailia	0:1 ET
Egyptian Premier League
18.09.25	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Kahrabaa Ismailia	0:1

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